Tonight at 21:30, the US weekly initial jobless claims data will be announced.

Previous value 200,000, market expectation 205,000, slight rebound expected.

The core of this data still reflects the strength of the employment market:
If the announced value exceeds expectations, it indicates a cooling of employment marginally, which in the short term is beneficial for risk asset sentiment recovery;
If it is below or close to the previous value, it suggests that employment remains relatively strong, with limited downward space for interest rates, and risk assets may continue to be under pressure.

It should be noted that the current market is still in a phase of oscillation and recovery, and the data mainly acts as a catalyst for sentiment rather than a trend reversal signal.
Do not rush for the data or bet on the direction; wait for the results to materialize, observe how prices respond, and then follow the trend, which is the prudent trading approach.
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