New XRP ETF Timeline Revealed: Approval Delayed — But Odds Surge to 99%

The crypto market is once again buzzing — this time around the long-awaited XRP ETF, whose approval has been postponed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Despite the delay, there’s strong reason for optimism: the probability of XRP ETF approval by the end of 2025 has skyrocketed to 99%.

XRP ETF Delayed — But Only Temporarily According to analysts, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was expected to issue decisions on XRP ETF applications in October. However, due to the temporary government shutdown, all regulatory procedures were halted. A leading crypto expert explained that even after the government reopens, the SEC will still need about four weeks to process pending applications: “Even after the government resumes operations, it may take another four weeks. ETF approval is now expected between late November and late December.” This delay, however, is viewed as a procedural pause, not a rejection.

SEC Streamlines the ETF Process Analysts note that the SEC’s recent regulatory changes could significantly speed up crypto ETF approvals.

The agency has removed the outdated 19b-4 requirement and introduced a new generic standard for ETF listings that simplifies the approval process. Under the new framework, the SEC will focus primarily on the S-1 filing, potentially cutting several weeks off the waiting period.

This shift is widely seen as a positive signal for the crypto market, which has long awaited greater institutional involvement.

Major Firms Await SEC Decision Several major asset managers are still waiting for the SEC’s green light: 🔹 Grayscale 🔹 21Shares 🔹 Bitwise 🔹 Canary Capital 🔹 WisdomTree 🔹 CoinShares Originally, their approval deadlines were set between October 18 and October 25, but these have now been pushed back due to the government shutdown.

Other ETF proposals, including those for Litecoin, Solana, and Cardano, are facing similar delays.

Analysts: “It’s a Rain Delay, Not a Cancellation” Experts remain calm despite the postponement.

Nate Geraci, president of The ETF Store, stated that such a delay was unavoidable under current conditions.

Meanwhile, Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, compared the situation to a “rain delay” — a temporary pause, not a cancellation. According to Polymarket data, the odds of XRP ETF approval by the end of 2025 have jumped to 99%, marking the highest probability recorded so far.

What It Means for Ripple and XRP While the crypto community waits for the SEC’s next move, sentiment around Ripple and XRP remains largely optimistic.

Institutional investors are closely monitoring the situation, as an XRP ETF could pave the way for mainstream adoption, similar to the impact of Bitcoin ETFs. If approval arrives before the end of 2025, it could become a milestone for the entire crypto market — potentially establishing Ripple as the second-largest player in the ETF landscape right after Bitcoin.

#xrp , #Ripple , #etf , #bitcoin , #SEC

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