#美联储降息预期升温# Tonight, the Federal Reserve's Intrerest Rate decision will become the focal point of global markets, and its influence cannot be underestimated.

The characteristics of this resolution are distinct, as there has been a rare three-way opinion divergence within the Federal Reserve, breaking the previous consensus model. According to analysis from several financial institutions such as Citigroup and JPMorgan, it is expected that 2-3 committee members will openly support a 50 basis point rate cut, while the mainstream view may lean towards a 25 basis point cut.

This divergence has actually formed three distinct camps:

On one hand, there are the radical rate-cutting faction, who believe that the current economic risks are significant and that a substantial rate cut of 50 basis points is needed to respond.

The other side is the moderate rate cut faction, advocating a 25 basis point rate cut, proceeding cautiously;

There are also some indecisive committee members who may make a decision at the last moment.

This unprecedented internal differentiation reflects the Federal Reserve's uncertainty in judging the economic outlook. The unstable economic recovery in the post-pandemic era, recurring inflation issues, and increasing political pressure all make it difficult for decision-makers to reach a consensus.

Tonight's focus is not only on whether the final interest rate cut will be 25 or 50 basis points, but more importantly, whether the Federal Reserve can maintain internal decision-making unity. If three members cast dissenting votes ( in favor of a 50 basis point cut ), it will send a dangerous signal to the market: the internal consensus of the Federal Reserve has collapsed, which may indicate greater policy uncertainty.

How will the market trend evolve at this critical moment? Will the cryptocurrency market seize this opportunity for new development? These questions are worth our close attention.