Data inflasi PCE yang disukai Federal Reserve telah tiba, apakah suku bunga akan berubah minggu depan?

【比推】The Fed’s most closely watched inflation indicator, the PCE, performed roughly in line with expectations in November. The specific data are as follows: core PCE price index rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.8% year-on-year. However, there is a detail—due to the government shutdown disrupting the release schedule, these figures actually reflect the situation in November of last year.

This means the real-time reference value of the data is somewhat discounted. Fed officials may not place too much weight on this data. The market generally expects that the Fed is likely to keep interest rates unchanged at next week’s policy meeting.

For traders, this signal is very important—although inflation remains sticky, there is no obvious deterioration. This stable macro outlook is often a key background for whether risk assets like Bitcoin can continue to rise.