The U.S. Supreme Court is about to hold a hearing on the Trump tariff case, and Polymarket predicts a 59% chance of Trump losing.

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Odaily News The U.S. Supreme Court will hold a crucial hearing on whether President Donald Trump’s broad use of tariffs under an emergency declaration is legal, with prediction market bets indicating that the likelihood of a ruling against Trump exceeds 50%. Two independent betting sites — one asking whether Trump will lose and the other asking whether he will win — both show his probability of losing at around 60%. The odds on PredictIt rose to 66% on Tuesday, having fluctuated between 48% and 69% over the past month. The probability on Polymarket has remained relatively stable since late September, with the latest data showing a 59% chance of Trump losing.

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