Musk asked Grok about the probability of Quantum Computing cracking the Bitcoin Algorithm (SHA-256), to which Grok replied "almost 0 in the next 5 years".



On August 3, news broke that based on the research progress article of the quantum computer released by IBM, Musk asked Grok about the probability of quantum computing breaking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256).

Grok's reply indicated that, according to assessments from NIST, IBM, and expert surveys regarding 2025, the probability of Quantum Computing breaking SHA-256 is "almost 0% in the next 5 years, and will be below 10% by 2035." This requires millions of error-correcting quantum bits; while current systems support only about 1,000 noisy quantum bits at most. The hash value of Bitcoin is still secure.
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