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Conviction > Timing
Everyone on CT loves to talk about “being early.”
But in 90% of cases, “early” just means front-running the next pump and dump or Ponzi scheme. The other 10% are mostly luck or insider access.
True asymmetric upside doesn’t come from chasing hype. It comes from conviction, especially when it feels uncomfortable.
- Holding when everyone fades
- Believing when the mob FUDs
- Doubling down when nobody cares anymore
Being early might look smart, but it’s mostly noise.
However, conviction is a strategy.
Forge your own luck.