The crypto assets trading mindset of Coin Grandpa:

Based on "Coin Grandpa"'s daily records from November 2022 to August 2025, his trading mindset reflects a deep experience of bull and bear cycles, emphasizing contrarian operations, position management, and long-term value orientation. He views the crypto market as a high-volatility opportunity space but remains constantly aware of human weaknesses and risks, pursuing steady returns that transcend cycles. The following organizes his detailed thinking approach according to a logical framework, including market cognition, emotional management, strategy execution, asset selection, risk control, and long-term vision.
1. Market Cycle Awareness: Short Bull, Long Bear, Cycles Drive Everything
The bear market dominates, opportunities arise during the downturn: He believes that the crypto market is in a bear market or sideways for 90% of the time (the "garbage time"), and bear markets often last for 1-2 years (such as in 2022-2023). Characteristics include liquidity exhaustion, shrinking trading volume (for instance, daily trading volume on exchanges dropping to historical lows), and prices gradually declining or plummeting (such as the FTX incident leading to a market crash). Signals of a bear market bottom: no one cares, extremely pessimistic sentiment (for example, a collective bearish outlook on BTC to 10,000), volatility.