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💡Fengshen Chat Trading— #ETH# 2025.09.16
Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structure Interpretation
Due to the breach of the 4250 level, the current space has been completely opened up. Today, ETH is testing in the larger range of 4,350–4,700, with short-term support at 4,450-4,500 and resistance at 4,670-4,690. Overall, the short-term outlook is bullish, but we need to be cautious of intraday profit-taking; if ETF inflows continue with volume, it will be easier to break through the upper resistance.
2️⃣ Fund Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics
ETF Flows: This week, ETH-related spot ETFs continued to record net inflows (with hundreds of millions of dollars flowing in during the reporting period, mainly from products like Fidelity), indicating that institutional demand remains strong. Reports show significant net inflows of ETH-related funds during the period from 9/8 to 9/12.
Whales/On-chain: On-chain data shows that some large addresses are still active, with reports mentioning several large ETH transfer events (it is important to note whether they enter exchanges and are traded to determine if they create selling pressure). Overall, the funding situation is relatively more inclined towards institutional buying compared to BTC, but short-term volatility remains high.
3️⃣ Intraday Trading Thought
bull
Condition: A reversal candle or significant increase in trading volume should appear near 4,450-4,500.
Stop loss: 4450 (if broken, exit immediately).
Target: 4,670 → 4,690.
Short (when the upper side is rejected)
Condition: Reach the 4,670 → 4,690 resistance zone with low volume or show upper shadows/engulfing.
Stop loss: 4,690 (if broken, exit immediately).
Target level: around 4500, with maximum support seen around 4400.
4️⃣ Risk Warning
ETH saw strong ETF inflows this week, but if there are "large on-chain transfers to exchanges that are sold off," the short-term pullback risk will increase sharply; it is essential to closely monitor the movements of large on-chain addresses and exchange trading.
[For reference only, not as investment advice]