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#打榜优质内容# Today's Focus
1. Sudden sell-off / Emotion of sharp drop release
Although there have been no confirmed reports, multiple market users have reported a brief sharp drop around 8:30 this morning, which may be caused by some exchanges' leveraged long positions being liquidated, concentrated profit-taking sell orders, and the effects of poor liquidity being amplified at that time.
2. ETF inflows continue to be strong, but there are concerns and pullbacks.
Bitcoin spot ETF inflows are still ongoing, but the pace of capital entering has slowed. There have been some short-term net outflows or fluctuations, reflecting the market's uncertainty regarding policy stability and interest rate paths. 3. Bitcoin is testing key support.
If the support at $114,000 is lost, BTC may drop to the range of $110,000–$112,000, making the support level more important.
4. ETH resistance pressure is明显
The ETH price encounters selling pressure in the $4,650–$4,800 area. If it fails to break through this resistance in the short term, it is likely to pull back to around $4,400.
5. SOL has a flexible downturn, but the medium-term outlook remains optimistic.
SOL previously rose due to ETF expectations, but the current resistance has led to a pullback; however, if it can hold its support, its upside potential is still recognized by the market.
6. Macroeconomic factors remain key to pricing
The changes in U.S. interest rate policy, inflation data, the U.S. dollar index, and U.S. Treasury yields are increasingly impacting the cryptocurrency market. It is expected that if the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts or expressions of easing signals weaken in the future, it will create short-term retracement pressure.
7. Market sentiment and capital flows slow down
Although bullish funds had previously flowed in strongly, as prices approached technical resistance and a short-term pullback occurred, the inflow of funds has diminished, and trading volume has been lackluster.
8. Liquidation and Leverage Risk Increase
During a short-term sharp decline, long positions may be forcibly closed significantly, especially in perpetual contracts and high-leverage trading, making the risks more tangible. Short positions may not necessarily be advantageous, as the market is also uncertain about the downside potential. 9. On-chain indicators and whale behavior anomalies.
Some large addresses (whales) have recently released Bitcoin or SOL, which might be profit-taking; at the same time, on-chain active addresses and trading volume briefly spiked during the period of plummeting/panic emotions, then quickly receded, indicating that volatility was triggered but not sustained.
10. The technical form has not yet been destroyed, but we need to be wary of increased volatility.
BTC and SOL exhibit symmetrical triangle or hammer patterns; ETH may be in a rectangular consolidation. If the upcoming policy signals or inflow signals are weak, it may lead to severe fluctuations; if it breaks through the resistance zone, it is expected to accelerate upward.
As you see the market is red.
Now the plan is simple as btc is on 112k we consider it neutral
109k is the next support.
If btc goes below 109k it's downtrend.
Only buy below 109k if you wanna take risk.
Whole market will follow this plan.
Simple and clear.