Market Analysis on September 25, 2025

The market has fallen again, which seems to confirm my worries from a few days ago. The market is in a relatively FOMO stage, and with the risk signal of over 10 billion RMB in liquidations in a single day appearing, the probability of further decline has increased. Although I personally did not reduce my positions, I just restrained myself from increasing my positions or buying new coins. This drop, although within expectations, is still a bit concerning, mainly because the price of Ethereum has directly hit 4000 USD, when the previous support was at 4200. However, the good news is that Bitcoin has not broken down, with support around 109000, so this decline is not considered a defeat.

It should be noted that the 1-3 days following a significant drop often represent a period of higher risk. It is possible to buy the dip, but I would suggest using funds from high positions to reduce holdings, treating it as a swing trade. I know that what everyone needs at this time is confidence, but to be honest, I currently...