This week, the financial market faces two key events that could have a decisive impact on the market direction for the second half of the year.

First, senior officials from the Federal Reserve will be making intensive statements. Starting from Monday, more than eight Federal Reserve officials will take turns speaking over five consecutive days. Among them, the speeches of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and Vice Chairman Jefferson are particularly worth noting. These remarks could significantly influence market expectations for an interest rate cut in October. If strong signals are sent, it may lead to declines in the stock market and gold prices; if moderate messages are conveyed, it could trigger a market rebound. Investors should closely monitor every detail to grasp market trends.

Secondly, the U.S. government is facing a potential shutdown crisis. Congress needs to reach an agreement on the budget before October 1st, or the government will enter a shutdown state. This is not only an internal issue for the U.S., but it will also have widespread effects on global markets. If the government shuts down, important economic data such as the non-farm payroll report and CPI, which are scheduled to be released in October, may be delayed. These data are crucial for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions in October; without this data support, the decision-making process of the Federal Reserve will be filled with uncertainty, potentially triggering significant market volatility.

Therefore, this week investors should pay special attention to two aspects: first, closely track the remarks of Federal Reserve officials and analyze their policy tendencies; second, keep an eye on the latest developments in the U.S. government shutdown crisis. Any unexpected change in either of these two factors could lead to significant market fluctuations, impacting investors' positions.

The policy direction of the Federal Reserve and the outcomes of the U.S. government budget negotiations remain highly uncertain. Market participants need to stay vigilant and adjust their investment strategies at any time to respond to various possible market scenarios.