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Do you want to predict whether a crypto will rise or fall in 15 minutes? Here is the reality

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We all want to be short-term traders, but here’s the uncomfortable truth: predicting 15-minute movements is almost like guessing. That said, there are tools that can increase your odds.

The Magic Triangle of Intraday Trading

Charts + Indicators + Risk Management

Open TradingView, set the chart to 15 minutes, and look for these patterns:

  • Bullish trend: each high and low is higher than the previous one
  • Bearish trend: each high and low is lower
  • Sideways trend: the price bounces between two levels (the most boring but predictable)

The indicators that really work

Moving Averages (MA): Use MA 9 (fast movement) and MA 21 (general trend). When the short crosses above the long = bullish signal. When it crosses below = caution, it may go down.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): This indicator is your compass for extremes. Below 30 = likely oversold and could rise. Above 70 = too much euphoria, possible correction.

MACD: If the MACD line is above the signal line, the momentum is bullish. If it is below, bearish. It's like a direction change detector.

Support and Resistance: The Invisible Limits

Support is where the price “bounces” up ( does not want to go down further ). Resistance is where it “hits” down ( does not want to go up further ).

If you see that the price approaches support and starts to recover = buy. If it hits resistance and starts to fall = sell. It's pure market psychology.

Volume doesn't lie

High volume + price rising = real bullish trend. Low volume + price rising = false alarm, get ready for the drop. Volume is the fuel that drives the price.

The variables you cannot control

A tweet from Elon Musk, a regulatory news item, or a sudden Bitcoin crash can throw your analysis out the window in 30 seconds. Keep your eyes on Twitter and reliable crypto news channels.

The inconvenient truth

Predicting 15 minutes is highly speculative. No indicator is 100% accurate. What does work:

  • Combine at least 2-3 indicators, not just one
  • Use money that you can afford to lose without ruining yourself
  • Practice paper trading first before risking real.
  • Understand that the market is unpredictable, there are always exceptions

Experience is your best teacher. More practice, less ego.

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This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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