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Don't remind me again today

Reality shows present a weird challenge for prediction markets, don't they? The outcomes are literally the most leak-prone you could imagine. Everything's already recorded months in advance, sitting there waiting for someone to spill the beans.



Sure, prediction markets still run on things like Nobel Prize winners - but at least those aren't sitting on some producer's hard drive for half a year before the announcement. Totally different risk profile when you think about it.
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ser_ngmivip
· 6h ago
People have said this problem long ago. Setting up a prediction market is just as ridiculous as betting on a reality show.
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SigmaValidatorvip
· 6h ago
Indeed, the prediction market of reality shows is simply a hotbed for information leaks... Who can resist the scripts lying on the production team's hard drive?
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SelfCustodyIssuesvip
· 6h ago
Wow, isn't this the ultimate embodiment of information asymmetry? It's really outrageous.
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CexIsBadvip
· 6h ago
Haha, isn't this the biggest loophole in the prediction market? Variety shows are just a hotbed for insiders leaking information.
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