#比特币波动性 In December, the expectation of interest rate cuts suddenly intensified, with the probability soaring to over 60%. This is a strong stimulant for the market, and short-term sentiment has indeed been boosted. However, how will it play out in the long term? To be honest, there are still quite a few variables, as the macroeconomic environment remains a factor.

Looking at the market trend, there was a washout in the early session, with a low test around 86000 that was quickly bought up. After that, it rebounded and regained the position above 87500. The daily line closed with a doji, a typical standoff pattern between bulls and bears. The main tone now is a consolidation with oscillation, providing space for operations both up and down.

From the 4-hour level, the price is moving sideways near the upper Bollinger Band, with moving averages starting to converge and stick together, while trading volume is also shrinking. This kind of trend requires close attention to the support level of 86,000; whether it can hold is crucial.

In terms of operational strategy, if there is a pullback to the 85,500-86,000 range in the afternoon, consider entering a long position, targeting 87,500-88,500, with a stop loss set below 85,000. For Ethereum, the 2,750-2,800 range can be targeted, with a goal of 2,880-2,950, and a defensive position at 2,730.

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