#ETH走势分析 $BTC 's recent performance is worth pondering.



In the area near the lower Bollinger Band, there's been repeated back-and-forth action, with multiple attempts to break through key support levels, but each time it gets bought up—so the defense below is indeed still holding. There have been consecutive candlesticks with long lower shadows, indicating that while the bears are still pushing down, they don't have much force left, and instead, buying power at the bottom is gradually accumulating. What does this usually mean? The downside space is narrowing.

In the short term, there's a strong possibility of a technical rebound.

**Trading strategy**:
The 89,500-90,000 range is a good opportunity for long positions, with the first target at 92,300. If it holds above that, look further up to 94,200.

$ETH and $ZEC are also in this wave of adjustment. What do you all think about this situation?
ETH-4.98%
BTC-2.3%
ZEC0.28%
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DAOplomacyvip
· 12-11 23:55
historically precedent suggests these support holds are more about path dependency than actual conviction... but ngl the accumulation narrative here hits different. game theoretical implications kinda check out if you squint at the orderbook, though sub-optimal incentive structures usually means retail gets rekt first. 89500 zone is arguably compelling, stakeholder alignment and all that.
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LiquidationSurvivorvip
· 12-10 16:22
The long lower shadow pattern is back again. Every time they say there will be a rebound, but in the end... we still have to see whether it breaks or not at 89,500.
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PanicSellervip
· 12-10 01:07
Starting to study candlestick charts again, always the same talk every time, but what’s the result?
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SandwichTradervip
· 12-09 01:10
Bagholders are back again. Every time they say it's the bottom, but it keeps dumping. LOL
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BearMarketBrovip
· 12-09 01:10
This long lower shadow is indeed quite interesting, it feels like the voices supporting bottom-fishing are getting louder.
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SilentAlphavip
· 12-09 01:09
Here we go with the same argument again—just because there's a long lower shadow, it has to go up? Why do I still see it dropping...
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Frontrunnervip
· 12-09 01:08
The Bollinger Bands are fluctuating back and forth, and the bears can't push it down anymore... The question is whether this wave of dip-buyers can hold the line. Is going long at 89500 really safe, or is it going to get trapped again? Is the long lower shadow a sign of bottom accumulation? Or is the main force trying to lure in shorts? Honestly, I can't figure it out.
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SchrodingerGasvip
· 12-09 00:49
It's the same old trick of buying at the lower Bollinger Band—where's the on-chain evidence? I don't trust it just by looking at the long lower wick on the candlestick chart.
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