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I have been trading sports events in the prediction market for 59 days, and my recent performance has been quite embarrassing. Last night's trading strategy completely failed, marking the fifth major drawdown in my career, the last one was in early January. All three targets in this round exploded—two basketball games and one football match—resulting in a loss of over 300 points directly.
What’s more heartbreaking is that I’m not the only one suffering. Recently, several traders who also participate in prediction markets around me have been experiencing drawdowns, such as Brother Jiao, Brother Tongjun, and other active friends in the community. Their trading screenshots all show less-than-ideal results lately. It seems that the difficulty of sports event prediction is indeed increasing, especially when multiple assets are combined, making risk control particularly important. The unpredictability of the market at this stage is right in front of us.