I have been trading sports events in the prediction market for 59 days, and my recent performance has been quite embarrassing. Last night's trading strategy completely failed, marking the fifth major drawdown in my career, the last one was in early January. All three targets in this round exploded—two basketball games and one football match—resulting in a loss of over 300 points directly.



What’s more heartbreaking is that I’m not the only one suffering. Recently, several traders who also participate in prediction markets around me have been experiencing drawdowns, such as Brother Jiao, Brother Tongjun, and other active friends in the community. Their trading screenshots all show less-than-ideal results lately. It seems that the difficulty of sports event prediction is indeed increasing, especially when multiple assets are combined, making risk control particularly important. The unpredictability of the market at this stage is right in front of us.
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fren.ethvip
· 4h ago
Over 300 points just disappeared, this one really hurts.
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SandwichTradervip
· 10h ago
Wow, over 300 points just gone? The sports market has been really strange lately, I've also taken a hit. Being pressed down so many times in 59 days, I need to reflect on whether I’ve been using too much leverage. The risk of a multi-asset portfolio is really absolute; one explosion and others follow as casualties, that's what I fear the most. By the way, are Brother Jiao and the others also falling recently? It seems it's not just us with bad luck, the entire sports market might be undergoing a shakeout. Losing 300 points is already painful enough, what are your plans moving forward?
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Ramen_Until_Richvip
· 14h ago
Over 300 points just gone like that? Truly incredible. On my side, the sports market has also been full of surprises lately.
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MEVHuntervip
· 01-08 13:06
Damn, this is the legendary multi-asset combination explosion, a rhythm that can't be copied from the mempool at all.
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NFTHoardervip
· 01-07 15:50
Over 300 points just disappeared, predicting sports events has really become more difficult.
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PriceOracleFairyvip
· 01-07 15:43
ngl, the oracle got completely rekt here... 59 days in and already 5 major drawdowns? that's giving me heavy statistical anomaly vibes, not just bad luck fr fr. 300+ points on a correlated basket? sounds like you walked straight into liquidity trap territory lol
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tx_or_didn't_happenvip
· 01-07 15:33
Over 300 points just gone, that must be heartbreaking, brother. --- Looking at the recent screenshots from Jiao Ge and others, I know this stage is indeed hard to handle. --- Five retracements? Need to reflect whether the model should be adjusted. --- Sports event combo orders are really easy points; risk control needs to be prioritized. --- In just 59 days, so much has happened. I need to slow down. --- No, why are multiple assets being pushed up together? Isn't that asking for trouble? --- The most heartbreaking thing is seeing people around me also losing money, it feels like the entire market is acting up.
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LiquidationKingvip
· 01-07 15:32
Five drawdowns already, buddy. You need to reflect on this. It's not a market problem, right?
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GhostWalletSleuthvip
· 01-07 15:23
Oh no, this is the so-called "Black Swan Cycle," right? The sports market has indeed been outrageous recently. The odds model has failed, and a multi-asset combination is simply giving away money.
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governance_lurkervip
· 01-07 15:21
Over 300 points just gone like that, sports prediction really is unpredictable.
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