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Interesting take on how policy-driven uncertainty ripples through the economy. One year on, the stagflationary pressures are becoming harder to ignore. When governments create ambiguity around major policy shifts, it doesn't just affect confidence—it reshapes how capital allocates across asset classes.
The mechanics are straightforward: uncertainty spikes, spending gets cautious, yet cost pressures persist. That's the stagflation trap. For markets already pricing in growth expectations, this dynamic matters. It's not just theory either—you can watch it play out in real-time through commodity prices, employment data, and how risk assets respond to policy headlines.
As we hit this anniversary mark, the evidence is becoming too visible to rationalize away. Whether you're tracking inflation derivatives, equity volatility, or crypto market sentiment, the policy environment is a major variable that can't be ignored. Markets will keep testing where the actual floor is.