#比特币2026年行情展望 【Federal Reserve Power Transition: Can Policy Transparency Drive the Market?】

The leadership of the Federal Reserve may face changes, and this time it's unusual—no one can rely on authority alone; data must speak for itself. Recently, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari emphasized this point: "Only the most convincing analysis can prevail in the committee." What does this shift mean for crypto assets?

Policy-making is shifting from personal dictatorship to data democracy. This is not a bad thing for the crypto world. Transparent decision-making processes may actually reduce sudden black swan events—markets can better digest policy expectations in advance. Historically, whenever the Fed is in a policy adjustment period, it’s actually a window for savvy capital deployment. How many people were knocked out by frequent policy swings during last year's rate hike cycle? The situation may now be reversing.

The interest rate game is entering a new phase. The Fed still talks about tightening, but the market is interpreting another layer of economic data—recession signals, employment pressures, liquidity exhaustion. These real indicators are quietly changing the confidence behind policy shifts. Capital has already sensed signs of a possible policy turn, and institutional ammo is gradually being replenished. Crypto markets are never afraid of overt battles; what they fear is sudden policy reversals. Now that the game rules are becoming more transparent, the pricing logic of mainstream assets like $BTC and $ETH will become increasingly clear.

Bull markets often slowly emerge amid skepticism. The key is to stay patient and remain sufficiently sensitive to market signals—seize the chips in hand.

What do you think about the next Federal Reserve decision-maker’s inclination—hawkish or dovish?