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The U.S. Supreme Court trade case has reached a stalemate, and global capital markets are trembling in anticipation. On January 14th, the justices still did not provide an answer on the constitutionality of Trump's tariff policy, with a final ruling possibly coming next week. Will it be announced on Tuesday or Wednesday? It remains a mystery for now.
The market has already reacted in advance. The Nasdaq index fell by 1%, the S&P 500 declined by 0.6%, and the semiconductor sector was hit hardest with a 1.1% drop. Consumer stocks are under pressure—leading companies like Lululemon and Mattel are both declining, and even Stanley Black & Decker has given back its previous gains.
The controversy centers on the "Dawn of Liberation" tariffs. Set to be implemented on April 2nd, these tariffs will impose a uniform 10%-50% duty on imported goods. During previous court debates, the justices hinted at concerns: Can Trump truly invoke the 1977 Emergency Powers Act to bypass Congress directly? That is the key issue.
If the ruling is unfavorable, the consequences could be severe. A tax rebate wave exceeding $130 billion could be triggered, which would be the heaviest legal blow to the Trump administration after regaining power. The countdown has begun—will a storm be coming?