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Recently, the contract market has staged a classic liquidity fragmentation drama. A project completed a high-fee harvesting round on January 8th, and just a week later, on January 14th, they repeated the trick. The pattern is clear: during a window when spot liquidity is only around 100 million, large funds directly manipulate the market aggressively, causing short positions to be repeatedly frictioned by high funding rates, even dropping to a negative rate of -2%, leading to heavy losses for retail short sellers.
The real hidden danger lies ahead. On January 22nd, the project team is set to unlock over 340,000 tokens, with plans for even larger unlocks afterward. This means two possibilities: one, liquidity continues to be drained, and the project team keeps using this seven-day contract harvesting cycle; two, after liquidity dries up, the project team directly dumps the market and runs. In either case, retail investors caught in the short squeeze will suffer greatly. Given this rhythm, we need to stay alert.