February 3rd: Rebound correction (unfortunately with reduced volume) / Tomorrow, continue with reduced volume to enter rotation / Volume increase to observe sustainability

Good evening everyone!! [Taogu Ba]

Yesterday, the acceleration tide receded

During the morning auction, panic selling (non-ferrous concept stocks) did not further increase

So the expectation is that the market is warming up

Some friends have asked similar questions before

How to determine a market rebound?

1. Accelerated decline (compare the number of limit-down stocks from the previous day; the more, the better) — this indicates an acceleration of the decline

2. Whether the number of limit-down stocks decreases after the next day’s auction (for example, yesterday had 98 limit-down stocks); is today’s morning session greater than 98 or significantly fewer?

3. Check if the overnight limit-down amount of the biggest stock from the previous day’s floor has increased (for example, yesterday’s Silver Mined Metals limit-down amount, and today’s morning limit-down amount)

A significant decrease indicates the market is repairing today

These three conditions are applicable during any cycle of tide receding to rebound

Actually, the opening was quite chaotic

Storage chips surged, AI applications surged, photovoltaics, and commercial aerospace surged

Only after 10 o’clock did focus gradually emerge (commercial aerospace and photovoltaics are more actively linked)

For now, commercial aerospace is considered a rebound, or even a one-day rotation is fine

Segmented speculation: News from SpaceX: Elon Musk’s SpaceX confirms merger with xAI in a company memo

Carefully consider which needs this cooperation addresses more or which segment benefits most?

If I understand correctly, it should be more beneficial for data centers

So, commercial aerospace + data centers should be the key focus

At the close, stocks with double concepts hitting the limit-up include:

Second board: Zhongchao Holdings

First board: Far East Holdings, Shiyun Circuit, Tiantong Shares, CIMC Group

If funds are truly speculating on data centers, then a few stocks with transformer overlays should also be watched

For example: Shunna Shares, Sanbian Technology, Taihao Technology, Binglun Environment, Zhongheng Electric, Tianwei Video, Yigor, Dongyangguang

Check tonight’s hot list to see if Zhongchao Holdings, Sanbian Technology, or Shunna Shares can rank in the top three; just one making the top three is enough

Tomorrow, there’s a high probability that one stock will hit the one-word limit-up

Assuming the second overnight order of the one-word limit-up stock exceeds 1 billion yuan

Then, further observe stocks within the data center concept with high turnover and limit-ups tomorrow

This is based on the premise of increased market volume; only with further volume increase can the theme sustain

Otherwise, if the market volume shrinks after tomorrow’s auction, this theme will also face elimination in the race

AI applications:

Today, Leo’s performance was not very good, and it even affected Zhejiang Wenlian, causing repeated limit-ups and breakdowns

During the session, some funds shifted from around 9.6 yuan to a consensus, creating a divergence return feedback

In AI applications, Leo still has a strong influence, followed by Zhejiang Wenlian and Tiandi Online in recent times

Observe these three stocks together (to gauge the strength of their linkage)

AI hardware:

Segmented into fiber optics (the most proactive segment in recent days)

Last week’s news: Meta plans to pay up to $6 billion to Corning for fiber optic cables. According to media reports, Corning is expanding its production facilities to meet the growing demand from companies like Meta, Nvidia, OpenAI, Google, Amazon, and Microsoft

Stocks: Hangzhou Electric, Far East Holdings, Yangtze Optical Fiber, Tianfu Communication

Consumer:

Unless there is very strong divergence tomorrow, this segment’s linkage will further weaken

Chemicals:

Hongbaoli, Baichuan Shares, Wanfeng Shares, Red Wall Shares

Tomorrow’s expectations:

The market currently has no main theme; focus on identifying key points within various branches

Index support: 4000 points, resistance: 4100~4140 points

Focus remains on volume; further volume expansion back to around 3 trillion yuan

Then, the strength of the one-word limit-up guide in the early session will indicate the continuation of the related theme

Use a strategy of S then B for stocks with reduced volume (swing stocks)

Today’s operations:

T+0 trading: Leo Shares

Stop loss: Silver Mined Metals (at least it got out)

This last-minute retreat cut into profits, but I will gradually recover it

New positions opened: Hongbaoli, Tiantong Shares, Zhongchao Holdings, Zhejiang Wenlian, Western Materials, Tongding Internet (loss)

Today’s portfolio update: