The brutal filtering above 4000 points: The "Phoenix" at high levels and the hidden concerns behind the undefeated record

Deep Review Beforehand, Let’s Organize Today’s Observations:

Focus on Jinguang Toys in the bidding attention group;

Continuous observation of Zhitai New Materials;

Unfollow Huadian Technology and Jiuding New Materials at high levels;

Prosperity!

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Deep Dive: Market Sentiment Review
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February 3, 2026 (Tuesday)

Conclusion: Market sentiment has experienced a long-awaited broad rally recovery, with the index increasing in volume and stabilizing above the 4000-point threshold. Short-term emotional rally shows clear differentiation, with high-level groupings (4 boards) remaining strong, but mid- and low-level upgrade rates still sluggish, indicating funds are more inclined toward “eliminating the weak and retaining the strong” betting, and the market is entering a high-level consolidation phase.

1. Core Data and Sentiment Diagnosis
1.1 Overall Market Performance
Index performance: Shanghai Composite Index up 51.99 points, a 1.29% increase, closing at 4067.74 points.
Volume change: Total market volume of 2,544.2 billion, down 40.5 billion from yesterday.
Number of advancing/declining stocks: 4,583 advancing, 514 declining.
Limit-ups/Limit-downs: Non-ST limit-ups 69, limit-downs 9.

1.2 Short-term Sentiment Indicators
Consecutive Board Promotion Rate:
First to Second: 5 stocks promoted, promotion rate 19%.
Second to Third: 2 stocks promoted, promotion rate 29%.
Above Third Board: 3 stocks promoted, promotion rate 100%.
Market Temperature: High (Broad rally)
Breakthrough Rate of Limit-up Stocks: 20.69%
Yesterday’s Limit-up stocks’ performance today: average increase of 4.35%.
Yesterday’s consecutive board stocks’ performance today: average increase of 5.78%.

1.3 Sentiment Summary
Today’s market presents a typical “index sets the stage, individual stocks perform” pattern. Although volume slightly decreased, the profit-making effect is excellent. In terms of short-term sentiment, funds are extremely focused on the top targets, with 100% promotion rate for stocks above 4 boards, demonstrating the “the strong get stronger” group effect; however, the low promotion rates for first to second and second to third boards indicate that the risk of trial at mid- and low-levels remains high, and the market is in a phase of “filtering out the weak and keeping the strong.”

2. In-depth Analysis of Consecutive Board Tiers

2.1 Current Consecutive Board Structure
4 boards: Huantai Liquor, Hengdian Film & TV, Wanfeng Shares
3 boards: Mingdiao Shares, Hangdian Shares
2 boards: Shunna Shares, Sanbian Technology, Zhongchao Holdings, etc.
First board: Many AI, photovoltaic, and consumer stocks

2.2 Tier Characteristics Analysis
High-level extreme groupings:
Stocks with 4 boards (Huantai, Hengdian, Wanfeng) all promoted, indicating funds are collectively optimistic at current levels and willing to create consecutive boards.

Severe gaps at mid- and low-levels:
Only 5 stocks successfully promoted from first to second, only 2 from second to third, indicating that funds are less willing to test at low levels and prefer to wait for certainty or directly attack high levels.

2.3 Focus for Follow-up
Monitor whether high-level stocks (Huantai Liquor, Hengdian Film & TV) can continue to expand upward and break market highs.
Observe the promotion of second to third boards tomorrow; if still sluggish, it indicates the market remains in a “light index, heavy individual stocks, heavy high-level” betting stage.

Risk Warning:
If high-level stocks (4 boards) show divergence and fall tomorrow, it will trigger a sharp retreat in short-term sentiment.

3. Hot Sector and Core Stock Comments
3.1 Commercial Aerospace (Rebound)
Number of limit-ups: 12 stocks
3.1.1 Policy-driven
The sector has experienced a strong rebound, with old leaders (Tongyu Communications, Shenjian Shares) rallying, indicating funds are flowing back into the sector.
3.1.2 Core Stock Analysis
Juli Sling (10 days 5 boards): Trend leader, high recognition.
Runbei Hangke (9 days 4 boards): Previously active stock, strong rebound strength.
Zhongchao Holdings (consecutive boards): Adds data center attributes, advantageous position.
Aerospace Development: Huanghe Road made a large purchase of 954 million yuan;

3.1.3 Trading Strategy
Perspective: Trend-following.
Rotation Path: Focus on the sustainability of core stocks in the front row; early-stage stocks suitable for accumulation.

3.2 Data Center / AI Power Supplies (Persistent Hotspot)
Number of limit-ups: 12 stocks
3.2.1 Core Stock Analysis
Shunna Shares, Sanbian Technology: Core in the consecutive board tier, representing the strength of AI power supplies.
Yuandong Shares (5 days 2 boards): Trend capacity stocks.

3.2.2 Sector Characteristics
Most are related to AI power supplies, indicating funds are still focused on the performance realization logic of AI hardware.

3.2.3 Trading Strategy
Pay attention to trend opportunities in capacity stocks of AI power supplies, monitor the promotion of small stocks like Shunna Shares and Sanbian Technology.

3.3 Consumer (Film/TV and Liquor)
Number of limit-ups: 4 stocks
3.3.1 Core Stocks
Hengdian Film & TV (4 days 4 boards): High target core, sector leader.
Huantai Liquor (4 days 4 boards): Representative of high-level groupings.
Attribute features: Pre-holiday consumption expectations combined with oversold rebound.

3.3.2 Trading Suggestions
Avoid chasing high at high levels, look for low-entry opportunities during divergence; if a stock hits a limit-down at high levels, exit promptly.

4. Overall Market Sentiment Analysis

4.1 Sentiment Cycle Positioning
The current market is in a high-level consolidation phase after a broad rally.
Risk point: Mid- and low-level rally gaps; if high-level stocks (4 boards) cannot continue to promote, it will lead to sentiment freezing.
Opportunity point: Leading core stocks in main sectors (AI power supplies, commercial aerospace) remain strong.

4.2 Capital Behavior Characteristics
Funds are shifting from low-level miscellaneous stocks to high-level core stocks, choosing “certainty” over “cost-effectiveness.”
Institutions and retail funds jointly push up core assets, with a market style favoring “leader tactics.”

4.3 Sentiment Indicator Interpretation
Yesterday’s average promotion of consecutive boards: 5.78% increase, indicating good premiums for holding consecutive board stocks, and a favorable relay environment.
Breakthrough rate of 20.69%: shows strong willingness to hold the limit-up stocks, with decisive bullishness.

5. Future Market Outlook and Trading Strategies
5.1 Major Direction Judgment
The market maintains a strong oscillation, with the index stable and individual stocks increasingly differentiated. Watch the support at the 4000-point mark.

5.2 Specific Trading Strategies
5.2.1 Avoidance
Avoid stocks without clear recognition that hit the first board or break the limit.
Avoid trial-and-error at first to second boards, as success rate is low.

5.2.2 Focus
Monitor the promotion of high-level stocks (Huantai, Hengdian).
Focus on leading core stocks in sectors like commercial aerospace and data centers (AI power supplies).

5.2.3 Risk Control
If high-level stocks show major divergence or trigger a “nuclear button,” reduce positions to defend.

6. Core Strategy for Tomorrow:
Focus on the core, eliminate the weak, and keep the strong.
Avoid blindly chasing low-level first boards; pay close attention to the support at high levels (3 boards, 4 boards).
If high-level stocks continue to promote, follow the trend; if divergence occurs, buy the leading trend stocks in core sectors at low levels.

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【Important Disclaimer】: The above is only a sharing of ideas and does not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; invest cautiously!