Stock Market's Biggest Losers Exposed by November Retail Data

The U.S. Census Bureau’s latest retail sales report for November has created a clear bifurcation in the stock market—while certain categories thrived, others struggled significantly. This divergence has exposed the stock market’s biggest losers, offering crucial insights for investors trying to navigate 2026. The data showed retail sales growth of 0.6% month-over-month and 3.1% year-over-year, with core retail sales rising 0.4% MoM and 4.4% year-over-year, but not all sectors benefited equally.

The Stock Market’s Biggest Losers: Home and Furnishings Under Pressure

The most striking weakness in November’s retail report appeared in two critical categories: furniture stores and building material and garden supply dealers both experienced negative sales growth, declining 1.4% and 2.8% respectively. These figures represent a significant headwind for companies in these spaces and underscore why certain names have become the stock market’s biggest losers in this cycle.

RH (Restoration Hardware) has found itself particularly vulnerable, despite a strong start to 2026 following the White House’s announcement to delay increased furniture tariffs until 2027. The company is navigating an expensive European expansion during a period when the home furnishings market remains fundamentally weak. While the tariff delay provided temporary relief, the underlying demand environment remains challenged.

Home Depot and Lowe’s, both major players in building materials and garden supplies, have struggled with same-store sales growth over the past several years. Although both stocks enjoyed early 2026 rallies, the persistent weakness in their category suggests those gains may face headwinds. The November data reinforces ongoing pressures in the do-it-yourself market that show no signs of reversing soon.

Where the Real Winners Emerged: A Contrast to the Losers

Understanding the stock market’s biggest losers becomes clearer when examining which categories flourished. Nonstore retailers, including e-commerce platforms like Amazon, saw sales jump 7.2% in November. For Amazon, this strength compounds its advantages from growing sponsored advertising revenue and operational efficiencies from robotics and artificial intelligence deployment. The company’s cloud computing unit, Amazon Web Services, continues accelerating, positioning Amazon as a beneficiary of broader retail strength.

Sporting goods stores delivered robust results with a 7.8% sales increase, while clothing retailers climbed 7.5%. This strength directly benefits Nike, which has started showing sales momentum in North America and Europe despite ongoing challenges in China and margin pressures from discounting and tariffs. The company’s recent insider buying—including CEO Elliot Hill’s $1 million+ purchase and Apple CEO Tim Cook’s nearly $3 million investment—suggests confidence in the turnaround trajectory.

Dick’s Sporting Goods similarly positioned itself as a winner through strategic initiatives. Beyond riding the sporting goods category strength, the company has attracted customers through experiential retail concepts. However, it continues absorbing its Foot Locker acquisition while restructuring that business through store closures and inventory clearance. The company’s conservative guidance sets a low bar for future performance, creating upside potential.

The Health and Personal Care Exception

Health and personal care stores posted impressive 6.7% year-over-year growth in November, providing tailwinds for e.l.f. Beauty. The company’s namesake brand continues capturing market share in mass-market cosmetics, while its recent Rhode acquisition—which debuted strongly at LVMH’s Sephora stores in September—opens new distribution channels and growth runways for 2026.

Food Service Strength and Supporting Beneficiaries

November’s food services and drinking places category grew 4.9% year-over-year, benefiting software-as-a-service providers like Toast. The restaurant SaaS platform benefits doubly: as its customers experience sales growth through Toast’s services and payment processing solutions, the company expands its customer base and transaction volumes simultaneously. Rising restaurant sales create direct tailwinds for Toast’s growth trajectory.

Investment Implications: Reading Between the Lines

The stock market’s biggest losers in this cycle share common characteristics: exposure to discretionary home spending, sensitivity to tariff policies, and reliance on consumer confidence for do-it-yourself projects. Conversely, winners clustered in e-commerce, experiential retail, health and beauty, and restaurant technology.

For investors, the November retail data crystallizes a simple truth: not all retail strength lifts all boats. While headline retail growth appeared respectable, the category-level divergence revealed which company stocks would genuinely benefit and which would face persistent structural headwinds. The stock market’s biggest losers—home furnishings retailers and building material suppliers—face the dual challenge of weak category demand and limited catalysts for reversal in the near term.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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