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 inflows. Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, noted that silver-backed ETFs accumulated approximately 130 million ounces in 2025, bringing total holdings to roughly 844 million ounces—an 18 percent increase. These inflows reflect a structural shift in investment preferences.
Physical scarcity has intensified alongside ETF accumulation. Mint shortages in silver bars and coins have emerged globally, and futures market inventories in London, New York, and Shanghai remain tight. Rising lease rates and borrowing costs signal genuine delivery challenges rather than speculative excess. In India, traditionally a gold jewelry market, silver jewelry demand surged as buyers sought more affordable alternatives. India alone imports 80 percent of its silver needs, and recent buying has drained London stocks.
Julia Khandoshko, CEO at broker Mind Money, captured the current market state: “Right now, the market is characterized by real physical scarcity: global demand is outpacing supply, India’s buying has drained London stocks and ETF inflows are tightening things even more.” Such conditions typically support elevated silver price predictions and justify the bullish sentiment permeating analyst commentary.
Expert Forecasts and Five-Year Silver Price Predictions
Assembling reliable silver price predictions proves challenging given the metal’s notorious volatility. Nonetheless, market participants offer distinct viewpoints on the next five years.
On the conservative end, Krauth views US$50 as the new floor for silver, with a “conservative” forecast placing the metal in the US$70 range for 2026. This aligns with Citigroup’s prediction that silver will continue outperforming gold and reach approximately US$70 during 2026, provided industrial fundamentals remain intact. Both analysts emphasize that 2026 represents a near-term milestone rather than a final destination.
The bullish camp paints a more expansive picture. Frank Holmes sees silver potentially reaching US$100 in 2026, while Clem Chambers of aNewFN.com shares comparable optimism, calling silver the “fast horse” of precious metals. Chambers argues that retail investment demand represents the true “juggernaut” driving silver prices upward over the coming years.
However, downside risks warrant consideration. Khandoshko cautioned that a global economic slowdown or sudden liquidity corrections could pressure prices downward. She recommended monitoring industrial demand trends, Indian import flows, ETF positioning, and price divergences across trading hubs as key indicators. Krauth similarly reminded investors that silver’s “famously volatile” nature means rapid drawdowns can occur alongside rallies.
Looking across a five-year horizon, the convergence of structural supply tightness, surging industrial consumption from cleantech and AI, and sustained safe-haven investment demand creates a compelling backdrop for positive silver price predictions. Yet achieving or exceeding US$100 over the next five years depends on whether these fundamentals remain intact and whether geopolitical and monetary conditions continue favoring precious metals appreciation. The next five years will test both the resilience of supply-demand dynamics and the sustainability of investment inflows that have transformed silver market dynamics.