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 — Recently, the A-share market has experienced continuous fluctuations, with sectors showing significant differentiation. Shanghai Silver Fund believes that the medium-term upward trend of the A-share market has not fundamentally changed. The core logic supporting this judgment includes three aspects: First, the global “asset scarcity” backdrop continues, coupled with frequent geopolitical conflicts worldwide, and the long-term trend of “patient capital” flowing into the stock market remains unchanged; second, domestic policies to “counteract involution” are being steadily advanced, with improving corporate profitability expectations gradually heating up, providing support for the capital market; third, the current rapid sector adjustments are more reactions to short-term market sentiment and trading levels, and have not shaken the medium- to long-term upward trend.
Regarding medium- to long-term investment opportunities, Shanghai Silver Fund indicates that three types of opportunities can be focused on: First, AI-related industries. Under the policy guidance of technological independence and controllability, domestic AI industry chain support policies continue to be implemented, and it is expected that global capital expenditure in the computing power sector will further expand, with AI edge device penetration steadily increasing. Future investment opportunities include domestically produced computing power chains and AI+gaming. Second, the direction of Chinese brand competitiveness improvement. Chinese brands have evolved from “cheap goods” to “high-quality, affordable, and stable profits,” and have achieved “leapfrog development” in multiple fields. Among them, the overseas expansion of domestic brands—especially in innovative pharmaceuticals, electrical equipment, and engineering machinery—has achieved overtaking or continuous increase in market share in niche segments, which warrants close attention. Third, resource commodities. Resources such as copper and minor metals possess genuine scarcity and anti-inflation properties, and are easy to form stable supply alliances. Related assets have stable cash flows and highlight long-term allocation value.
“Industries like non-ferrous metals have experienced significant gains previously and are highly crowded, requiring some time for adjustment and digestion,” Shanghai Silver Fund believes. The recent adjustment in this sector is mainly driven by trading factors rather than fundamentals. Coupled with the actual impact expected after the new Federal Reserve chair takes office, which is better than market pessimistic expectations, the sector may present more attractive buying opportunities after the adjustment.