[Red Envelope] Drop first, then rebound! The market style has suddenly changed! The controlling funds have shifted to them!

Today is a very important milestone; today’s market trend will determine the overall market style for the first half of 2026! [Taogu Ba]

Let me start with a bold statement—In the first half of 2026, sentiment will be king!

Many breakthrough market sentiment rallies and similar to Dazhong Transportation will emerge later, even if the market drops below 4,000, there will still be emotional groupings that hit the daily limit independently!

How did I arrive at this conclusion?

First, today’s market transaction volume has dropped to only 21,760 billion yuan! Coincidentally, the index is also showing a downward pattern.

This has turned into a situation where both price and volume are falling together, indicating a direct decline in market level!

From this perspective, expectations for AI applications and commercial aerospace will also be correspondingly lowered.

So today, I unfollowed Zhejiang Wenlian, Blue Label, Aerospace Development, and Xinwei.

These actions also contributed to a red market during the session, which is quite respectable.

The fundamental reason for this simultaneous decline in volume and price is actually that the market’s incremental funds are no longer sufficient!

For example, in commercial aerospace, initially, it was just a relatively well-developed aerospace sector. Why were so many stocks able to emerge later?

Isn’t it because of large-scale involvement from industrial capital?

When the market has large incremental funds and the leading companies can’t absorb all of it, the funds move to other stocks within the sector. Then, with some hot money or quantitative guidance, individual stocks start hitting the daily limit or even continuous limit-ups.

Now that industrial capital has already entered, not to mention whether they will sell, as long as there is no further influx of industrial capital, this game cannot continue!

Moreover, yesterday there were quite a few silly moves.

Insisting on grabbing silver and disrupting the recovery rhythm of AI and aerospace.

Can we really manage our market well with such self-destructive fools?

It’s better to let go of what you hold, secure your gains, and then look for sectors with less conflict to do ultra-short arbitrage.

Yes, recently we mainly focused on short-term trades, but still with a swing trading approach!

Since the market style has changed, our trading strategies need to adapt accordingly!

Taking today as an example,

Originally, there was nothing to do today, especially in the global markets, particularly in America, where tech stocks face flash crash risks.

So, today’s tech stocks in the market are mostly just catching up on declines.

At this point, you can either choose to buy the sectors that fell first, betting on a rebound, or go short directly.

Recently, the sectors that have fallen the most are semiconductors and the STAR Market. Combining these, it’s not so hard to understand why Yedong Micro is under water, right?

Weiwei, although your name does sound similar, you can’t learn from Yan Dongping, that bad woman!

Just during the session, Hang Seng Tech pulled up a bit.

Although the final result wasn’t very good, the intraday rally rather than continuous decline indicates there’s still capital entering tech stocks, not just selling off.

Therefore, the expectation for a rebound is even higher!

Of course, I’ll probably sell tomorrow too. It’s not about individual stocks but about the market’s style shift making it hard for people to hold onto stocks peacefully.

The A-share market is so big, it can’t even fit a single desk.

Once semiconductors start to rally,

No matter how sustainable it is, it will pull on funds from AI applications and commercial aerospace.

Just like the CPO situation some time ago,

From the time the Paw Patrol was smashing everything, to the non-ferrous metals sector following futures to grab funds, then CPO sucking in and spitting out gold, and now semiconductors.

It can be said that the success rate of AI and commercial aerospace is continuously shrinking. Coupled with today’s volume and price decline, I’ve decided to cash out!

Speaking of AI,

I’ve been mainly working based on expectations from earlier in the year. When the Spring Festival Gala arrives, that’s when the real implementation and realization happen.

The closer to the New Year, the lower the time value here!

If it’s going to rise again, maybe wait for the DeepSeek new model after the Spring Festival?

Commercial aerospace,

I previously said there would be a main rise in March.

This view might conflict with the current market situation, so further observation is needed.

Perhaps a sector similar to Dazhong Transportation, where the sector falls but the group can still rally, is a good choice!

Finally, I hope Wang Wang Team can become a person.

With today’s such disastrous situation, I was able to pick out Yedong Micro. Why can’t we just focus on making stocks peacefully?

We will educate ourselves to avoid fools in the A-share market who chase non-ferrous metals. We don’t need your help!

Yesterday’s silver correction, I stand by my words.