Institution: If Oil Prices Remain Elevated, Yen Expected to Fall to 165 Level

MaticHoleFiller · 2026-03-19T01:09:43+00:00

Alpha Binwani Capital analysis suggests that if energy prices continue to rise and the Bank of Japan does not raise interest rates, the yen will remain weak and could fall to 160 or even 165. The founder points out that verbal intervention cannot effectively support the yen, as hedge funds are shorting the yen, and high oil prices will lead to inflationary pressure, making rate hikes an inevitable choice.

MaticHoleFiller

2026-03-19 01:09:43

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Alpha Binwani Capital states that if energy prices continue to rise and the Bank of Japan does not raise interest rates, the yen will remain weak. The company’s founder, a seasoned expert with thirty years of market experience, Alpha Binwani, said: “Currently, the yen will fall to 160 unless the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, which cannot stop this weakness.” “If oil prices do not fall back in the next three months, the yen will drop to 165.” Binwani stated that verbal interventions cannot boost the yen, especially when hedge funds are shorting the yen based on oil price trends; “As long as oil stays above $100 per barrel, energy inflation and import inflation will occur, which undoubtedly means rate hikes — you have no other choice.”

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