ETH: Strong consolidation ending, breakthrough of key 2200 level imminent



As a trader navigating daily K-line and on-chain data, the current 1-hour structure of ETH delivers a clear conclusion—this is not the end of the uptrend, but rather a strong consolidation before the next round of acceleration begins.

Technical Structure Analysis:
Bollinger Bands exhibiting attack formation
Price hugging the upper band while the middle band trends clearly upward, with all three bands simultaneously expanding in tandem. Even during pullbacks, price firmly holds the middle band support, demonstrating strong bullish control without providing effective downside room for bears.

MACD brewing second wave of momentum
Although the 1-hour MACD histogram shows contraction, the fast and slow lines remain adhered in the high zone above the zero line. This pattern is typically viewed as "refueling in mid-air" during an uptrend—once the histogram turns red with volume expansion again, it will signal accelerating upside movement.

Volume-price confirmation of healthy rotation
Yesterday's pullback was accompanied by volume contraction, while this morning's rally showed modestly expanding volume. This structure indicates limited selling pressure, with capital stepping in forcefully at key levels, supporting trend continuation.

On-chain Data Verification:
Large position addresses (balance >10,000 ETH) have shown net accumulation over the past week, with 3.2% sequential growth, indicating "whale" confidence remains intact.

Total ETH staking has surpassed 40 million coins, continuously reaching all-time highs. Long-term staking locks up substantial circulating supply, fundamentally improving the supply-demand structure.

Layer 2 ecosystem total locked value grew 12% weekly, with application layer prosperity providing solid value support for ETH's base-layer assets.

Market Catalysts:
On the macro front, liquidity expectations continue to improve, favorable for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Regulatory progress is advancing, with an expanding array of ETH-related financial products widening channels for traditional capital inflows.
The upcoming network upgrade (Prague) is about to enter the testnet phase, with technical progress poised to reignite market attention.

Core Viewpoint and Strategy:
Direction: Maintain bullish bias; current oscillation is a consolidation phase for building strength.
Key Levels: Breaking and holding above $2,190 decisively targets the $2,250-$2,300 zone in the near term.
Trading Approach: View the $2,150-$2,165 range as potential support for staged entries. Risk stop can be placed at $2,120.

Markets always advance amid hesitation. The bullish pattern from daily to weekly timeframes remains intact; every convergence at the 1-hour level is a breather within the trend process. Currently, the trend itself remains your best friend. #以太坊L2叙事再升级 #Gate正式接入Polymarket $ETH
ETH0.48%
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