Nasdaq 100 Remains Above Support While USD/JPY Stays Bid And Brent Crude Slips

(MENAFN- DailyFX (IG)) ​​​Macro update ​Equities rebound on ceasefire hopes:

Asian stocks advanced, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 3% and regional markets gaining around 2%, while S&P 500 futures rose 0.7% as reports of a US-led ceasefire proposal improved sentiment.

​Oil drops on easing supply fears:

Brent crude oil declined around 4 - 5% towards $100 a barrel as ceasefire prospects raised hopes of restored Gulf exports, though prices remain roughly 35% higher since the conflict began.

​Markets remain cautious:

Gains in equity futures were relatively modest, with investors wary of headline-driven volatility and uncertainty over whether US-Iran negotiations will produce a lasting agreement.

​Bond yields edge lower:

US Treasury yields eased slightly, with 10-year yields near 4.35%, while rate markets continue to price further tightening in Europe, the UK, Japan and Australia despite geopolitical uncertainty.

​Gold rises as dollar softens:

Gold gained more than 2% as the US dollar weakened and lower oil prices eased inflation concerns, with investors also scaling back expectations for additional US rate hikes.

​Ongoing supply disruption and risks:

Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain constrained, Saudi exports are being rerouted, and continued military activity alongside stress in private credit markets is keeping overall risk sentiment fragile.

​Nasdaq 100 hovers above support

​The Nasdaq 100 is trying to gingerly advance but needs to overcome its 24 March high at 24,171 in order to revisit its key 24,289 - 24,465 resistance area which is likely to cap, at least short-term.

​A fall through its 24 March low at 23,928 would push the current March low at 23,760 to the fore.

​Short-term outlook:

Bearish while below the 23 March 24,465 high.

​Medium-term outlook:

Bearish while below the 17 March high at 24,884.

Nasdaq 100 daily candlestick chart

Source: TradingView

Source: TradingView ​USD/JPY remains bid

​USD/JPY keeps pushing towards its current March high at ¥159.90 and the psychological ¥160.00 region with the ¥160.16 - ¥160.21 April 1990 to April 2024 highs remaining in sight.

​The February to March uptrend line at ¥158.37 may offer support ahead of the 19 March low at ¥157.51.

​Short-term outlook:

Bullish while above the 19 March ¥157.51 low.

​Medium-term outlook:

Neutral with a bullish bias while above the 5 March low at ¥156.46.

USD/JPY daily candlestick chart

Source: TradingView

Source: TradingView ​Brent range trades above support

​The price of Brent crude oil is seen holding above this week’s $92.62 low below which remains a price gap with the 11 March high at $91.59 which is expected to get filled.

​A rise above the 24 March high at $101.08 may lead to the 23 March high at $110.29 being revisited, above which lies major resistance at $113.63 - $113.73. If exceeded, the June 2022 peak at $115.87 may be in sight.

​Still further up lie the March to May 2022 highs at $120.02 - $120.29.

​Short-term outlook:

Bullish while above the 23 March $92.62 low.

​Medium-term outlook:

Bullish while above the 10 March low at $79.74.

Brent crude daily candlestick chart

Source: TradingView

Source: TradingView Important to know

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