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首创研究:地缘风险溢价回落,乙二醇期价高位震荡
据首创研究,地缘风险溢价回落,乙二醇期价高位震荡。 现货市场,华东乙二醇价格4990元/吨自提,较上一交易日上涨127元/吨。 供应方面,本周国内乙二醇总开工57.97%,环比小幅下降。华东主港地区MEG库存总量95.2万吨,环比增加3.1万吨。海外方面,伊朗个别装置停车或暂停出口,沙特装置开工维持低位,预计3月乙二醇进口量或明显下降。 需求方面,长丝工厂加大减产力度,聚酯开工有所下降。 观点:国外装置检修仍在继续,进口预期下降,预估3-5月乙二醇整体将处于去库状态。短期地缘风险溢价回落,乙二醇期价高位震荡,关注地缘局势进展、国内外装置开工变动及成本变动情况。 (以上仅供参考,不构成投资建议)