On December 13th, BTC/ETH trend analysis showed that BTC will enter the altcoin big pump phase after stabilizing at $100,000 and going sideways!

  

Morning review: As long as BTC does not fall, altcoins will start the second phase of the bull run, with a significant market rally, followed by a pullback!

BTC traded sideways above $100,000 yesterday and consolidated for a day. It dipped below the lower channel boundary in the early morning today, but did not fall through. Currently, it is still close to $100,000! Throughout the previous content, the shepherd mentioned the key level of $100,000 multiple times and pointed out that the Fibonacci 1.414 level for the BTC long-term cycle is around $102,500. This level is under significant pressure, and BTC did not stay at this level for long after breaking above it three times.

Currently, in the short term, we only need to closely monitor whether the 100,000 mark can stand firm. The shepherd's view remains unchanged, and BTC will continue to oscillate upward and then experience a major retracement within this range. The reason is that in this round of the market, BTC has been rising from 60,000 while facing tremendous bullish leverage Rising up, so many profit-taking orders have not exited yet! When there is insufficient follow-up funds, BTC will inevitably fall back!

So the subsequent upward break position is between 102500-116000. This is my opinion! As long as BTC remains stable above 100,000, we can consider that the second stage of the altcoin rally will come, and funds will start to rotate to altcoins. At this time, it is more about considering the exit of altcoins, because no one can catch the fish tail! So, yesterday, I had already exited the LINK in my own hands! When an altcoin has gained 5 times, I suggest considering exiting, especially for some older altcoins. Many people fantasize that these old coins will directly skyrocket by tens or even hundreds of times. I think this situation may happen, but the risk we take will be enormous. You need to consider whether you can bear such a large retracement and have accepted the risks that come with it!

Intraday Bitcoin: Consider entering if it does not fall below the 4H middle rail of 98700!

The current Bitcoin long position has accumulated to about 14.3 billion! The bullish trend is still very strong! Bull Market does not short, Bull Market does not go against the trend! We can see retracements, but we must not intervene in the short side! The timing for shorting has not arrived!

ETH: Yesterday, we exited the 3650 long position in front of ETH, and the exit position was at 3900. Then, we hung a 3860 needle in the evening, which is currently just right! Why did we decide to enter at this position? Let me explain to everyone. We are looking at the 4-hour chart. We can see that ETH has been suppressed twice without breaking through 4000, so we decided to exit at 3900 during the retracement. The reason we hung 3860 at night is that the 3848-3860 line is just at this key level. So, when ETH was still above 3900 at that time, we made this decision. The needle was quickly retracted to the 3840 line in the evening! Although we didn't catch the lowest point, it doesn't affect our entry this time!

ETH is still weak, currently running above the long-term resistance level, not stable above 4000, we should focus on short-term trading!

Regarding altcoins: I have talked multiple times about COMP and AAVE in the lending sector, including in some previous videos specifically discussing altcoins. Why is the lending sector considered the ignition for the bull market? When the market is unilaterally rising, players, due to insufficient assets and unwillingness to bear the risk, will adopt the method of borrowing coins. AAVE and COMP in the lending sector have the best mechanisms. They each have their own characteristics. People are not borrowing AAVE and COMP, but rather, through these two platforms, lenders earn interest and borrowers obtain loans!

So when COMP was at 38, AAVE was less than 100, I mentioned in public content that everyone should pay attention to allocation! The key point is that I mentioned the start of the Bull Market, and the lending sector will move first for this reason! When one day you observe that the overall borrowing collateral ratio begins to gradually decline, you should pay attention to the possibility that the Bull Market may have already peaked, because the profit-taking has started and repayment has begun! At this time, it is one of the decision-making bases for exiting at the peak!