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The reasons for the collapse of the cryptocurrency market
The recent collapse of the cryptocurrency market is believed to be caused by a series of factors, with the main reason possibly being the explosion of a mini-bubble. However, not all analysts agree that the period of November and December was truly a mini-bubble. What is a mini-bubble? A mini-bubble is different from a typical speculative bubble. These are short-term fluctuations that do not last and do not have a significant impact on the medium and long-term trends of the market. Therefore, if this is called a small bubble, its severity is not enough to shape the entire trend of the cryptocurrency market. Capital movement from risk to safety Another factor considered to be the main cause of the severe market downturn is the phenomenon of capital flight from risk-on assets to safe assets such as US government bonds. This is also reflected in the US stock market, where major indexes also recorded a sharp decline. The reason for this shift is the significant increase in the MOVE index (U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate), signaling instability in the US bond market the previous day. High Dollar Index Another factor weighing on the cryptocurrency market is the Dollar Index (DXY) which remains at a high level and even tends to increase. When the USD strengthens, investors often tend to abandon risky assets, including cryptocurrencies, and switch to safer investment channels. Impact on Bitcoin and cryptocurrency market Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization and currently dominating the market, is heavily affected by these factors. The decline of Bitcoin not only reduces confidence in the market but also leads to a widespread decline in other altcoins' prices. Conclusion In summary, the recent cryptocurrency market crash is the result of a series of factors, from the short-term adjustment of a small bubble to larger impacts from the bond market and the strength of the USD. However, with its inherent high volatility, the cryptocurrency market still has the potential for strong recovery in the future, when external factors stabilize and investor confidence returns.