#数字货币市场洞察 From 5,000 USDT to seven figures, it took me a full five years to walk this path.

When I entered the market in 2017, friends around me who were trading contracts got liquidated one after another, some even mortgaged their houses. But my account curve always remained steadily upward, and my maximum drawdown never exceeded 8% of my principal. It wasn’t because I had insider information or relied on technical indicators to predict the market; I treated this market as a probability game—I aimed to be the casino owner, not the gambler.

**First Principle: Profits Must Be Locked In**

The moment I open a position, my take-profit and stop-loss are already set. As soon as my profits reach 10% of my principal, I immediately withdraw 50% to a cold wallet, and continue compounding with the remaining pure profits. If the market continues to rise, I earn compound returns; if it reverses, I only give back half the floating profit, and my principal remains untouched. Over the past five years, I’ve withdrawn 37 times, with the highest being $180,000 in one week. The exchange’s customer service even called to verify my account via video.

**Second Strategy: Contrarian Positioning**

The liquidation levels for most people are precisely my ATM PIN. I monitor three timeframes simultaneously: daily for the big picture, 4-hour to find the range, and 15-minute for precise entries.

For the same coin, I open two orders: chase the breakout long with the stop-loss at the previous daily low; at the same time, set a limit short order in the 4-hour overbought zone. The combined stop-loss of both sides never exceeds 1.5% of principal, but the take-profit target is set at over 5x. The market ranges 80% of the time; during these whipsaws when others get liquidated, I’m profiting on both sides. During the LUNA crash last year, the price whipsawed 90% in 24 hours, both my long and short orders hit take-profit, and my account grew 42% in a single day.

**Third Iron Rule: Cutting Losses Is Making Money**

If you’re one second late to stop out, you lose half your profits. I use a tiny 1.5% stop-loss for a chance to play as the house; if the market cooperates, let profits run, if it turns, exit immediately. My long-term win rate is only 38%, but my risk-reward ratio is 4.8:1, and my expected value is a positive 1.9%—for every dollar risked, I reliably earn $1.90. As long as I catch two trends a year, I can easily outperform most wealth management products.

**Practical Details**

I divide my funds into 10 parts, using at most 1 per order, and never holding more than 3 at a time. If I lose two trades in a row, I force myself to log off and go exercise, to avoid emotional revenge trading. Every time my account doubles, I withdraw 20% to buy US Treasuries or gold, converting digital assets into traditional ones so I can sleep soundly even in a bear market.

This method is simple, but extremely counterintuitive. When you want to hold on, go all in, or average down, remember this: the market isn’t afraid of your mistakes, only that you can’t get back up after being wiped out. The casino welcomes you to win money—but only if you can keep playing.