#ETH走势分析 Eight years of trading have taught me one thing: in this market, simply surviving is a victory.

I’ve seen too many passionate newcomers, dreaming of getting rich overnight, end up leaving dejected after just a few months. The reason for their failure is simple—greed overwhelms rationality. Trading isn’t gambling, nor is it a game of luck; it’s a test of psychological strength and execution.

**First Line of Defense: Mindset is More Valuable than Skill**

Market volatility is the norm—soaring prices dazzle, plunges make you want to cut your losses and run. In my experience, the more violent the swings, the more you need to hold still. Want to sell as soon as you see a red candle? That’s a common rookie reaction. But true winners do the opposite—they stick to their plans during panic, and hit the brakes when things get greedy. Staying calm isn’t numbness; it’s discipline based on rules.

**Second Line of Defense: Diversify Risk, Never Go All In**

No matter how accurate your technical analysis, liquidation can happen in an instant. My iron rule is simple: never let a single position exceed 10% of total capital. This means even if one trade hits stop-loss, your account can keep going. Position management might sound conservative, but it’s what kept me alive in bear markets and growing in bull runs. Always set a clear stop-loss before opening a position. That’s not being passive—it’s confirming your bottom line before going on the offensive.

**Third Line of Defense: Go with the Trend, Wait for Opportunities**

Understanding the trend is one thing; executing correctly is another. I often use trend lines, moving averages, and volume to judge market direction, but the key is not to chase highs. The best entry points usually appear during pullbacks—when others are restless, that’s when patient traders get their chance. $BTC and $ETH, these mainstream coins, often give the clearest signals. Learn to wait for them to confirm a bottom before acting.

**Live Longer to Earn More**

Looking back over the years, the moments of making big money only happened a few times, but there are endless chances to lose big. The reason steady traders succeed isn’t because they’re always right, but because they never let one mistake ruin their entire account. Most people’s problem isn’t a lack of talent, but a lack of patience to wait, and courage to admit mistakes.

I’ve fallen into too many pits, so I want to hold up this lantern for those who come after me.