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首创期货:成本提振,纯碱期价止跌反弹
供应方面,徐州丰成2月4日检修,南方碱业设备检修,博源银根负荷提升。纯碱产能利用率小幅提升至83.80%。上周纯碱厂家库存154.42万吨,环比增加2.30万吨,涨幅1.52%。纯碱企业待发订单下降,目前维持10天附近。纯碱装置检修不多,整体产能利用率仍处于较高水平。 需求方面,下游节前备货基本完成,后续补库意向减弱。本周预计浮法玻璃产线运行稳定,预估周产量在105.7万吨;光伏玻璃产线预计稳定,预估本周光伏玻璃在产产能60.87万吨。观点:煤炭价格反弹强进,成本支撑有所增强,带动纯碱价格回升。但供需面来看,目前纯碱供应维持偏高水平,下游浮法玻璃节后仍有冷修预期,或抑制纯碱期价反弹空间。跨品种关注空纯碱多玻璃套利。(首创期货)