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The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rate unchanged in July is 95.3%.
Jin10 data July 9th, according to CME “The Federal Reserve (FED) watch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the Intrerest Rate in July is 95.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the Intrerest Rate in September is 34.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 62.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3%.