Shiba Inu on Edge: Can SHIB Hold Key Support or Fall 15%?

SHIB trades near $0.000012 support, risking a potential 15% decline.

Exchange reserves and trader interest show declining demand for Shiba Inu.

RSI signals bearish momentum, though a strong bounce could trigger reversal.

The Shiba Inu community is watching closely as the token approaches a decisive price zone. Over the past 10 days, SHIB has slipped 4.4%, extending a broader downtrend that began months ago. Meme coins in general have struggled after the Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate cut, but SHIB’s pain runs deeper. Can SHIB defend its critical support, or will it tumble another 15%?

Bears Keep Pressure on SHIB

SHIB has produced a disappointing 45% loss year-to-date, leaving investors unsettled. While more unusual tokens like MemeCore, Fartcoin, and Pudgy Penguins have climbed with speed, SHIB has failed to inspire. On-chain signals reveal sharp declines in exchange reserves since January. Prices dropped from $0.000030 to $0.000011 during this period, highlighting weakness in demand.

Lower reserves often suggest accumulation, yet the broader picture paints a different story. Traders’ interest has thinned steadily this year, meaning fewer buyers are stepping in. This fading enthusiasm favors a bearish outlook unless a dramatic sentiment shift occurs. In many ways, SHIB now seems like a flame losing oxygen, with the market unwilling to stoke the fire. On the daily chart, SHIB has returned to the $0.000012 support level.

Momentum indicators are also flashing “caution.” The Relative Strength Index continues trending lower and is now approaching the oversold region. If the RSI moves below forty, a negative momentum should be confirmed. When sentiment and technical align in this manner, bullish play tends to decrease the range for bearish traders to gain new levels of comfort.

Can Buyers Flip the Script?

Despite increasing pressure, SHIB still has a slim chance to recover. For the moment, support at $0.000012 is not broken, and should the bulls come in with enough volume we could have a different story. If we see a strong bounce-back from this area and a break of the trend line resistance, the tables could turn.

Such a move could lead to a reversal and perhaps restore some confidence with sidelined investors. Still, the higher we go it will be tough. With no strong inflows, SHIB risks preserving its seat while other new and exciting meme tokens gain all of the attention. Traders who were once rallying at each price increase now take a cautious approach while waiting for confirmation of strength.

In many ways, SHIB is stuck between a rock and a hard place, with the decision of going lower or renewing. For now, the market still seems cautious, with liquidity still flowing into safer assets and the risk appetite doesn't have that spark yet. Unless buyers come in with a strong show of support SHIB could decline more over the next few weeks.