Fed's Powell says further rate hikes likely

  • Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told a Bank of Spain event that two more rate hikes this year may be needed to bring inflation down to the central bank’s 2 percent target.
  • Powell noted that U.S. inflationary pressures continue to rise and there is still a long way to go to return to the 2% target.
  • Most Fed members see two or more rate hikes needed by year-end.
  • Powell stressed that the impact of tighter monetary policy will take time to emerge, especially on inflation.
  • The Fed remains closely watching conditions in the banking sector, particularly in some housing markets and office building valuation adjustments.
  • Powell said rate hikes may resume after a pause in June, spurred by stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data.
  • The labor market remains very tight, with the unemployment rate at 3.7%.
  • Core inflation, while falling, was still above the Fed’s 2% target.
  • Fed policymakers opted to keep the policy rate target range unchanged at 5%-5.25% in June to assess the impact of rate hikes and banking stress on credit.
  • Underscoring the likelihood of this trajectory, Powell said most Fed policymakers expect to need at least two more rate hikes by year-end.
  • The Fed will hold four policy meetings this year, with the next meeting on July 25-26. Traders increased bets on a rate hike in July, pricing in a more than 40 percent chance of a further hike in November. <video src=“https://img-cdn.gateio.im/social/moments-3fb88ef454-701b17ec20-07811d-d72d18-11” controls=“”></video>
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