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#CreatorLeaderboard $SOL Multi-timeframe Analysis using the 4-hour (Directional), 1-hour (Behavioral), and 15-minute (Entry) structure, combined with Elliott Wave Theory, Liquidity concepts, and Price Action to formulate a swing trade plan for a $2,000 investment.
SOL/USDT Swing Trade Analysis
1. Multi-Timeframe Context
4-Hour Timeframe (Direction)
Observation:
· Price is trading at $91.86–$92.03, near the 24h High of $92.11.
· EMA Ribbon: EMA5 ($88.82–$91.59) is above EMA10 and EMA30, indicating a bullish alignment.
· BOLL (20,2): Price is testing the Upper Band (UB) ($91.50–$93.48), suggesting strong bullish momentum but potential overextension.
· MACD: On the earliest screenshot (4H), MACD histogram is positive ($0.27) with DIF crossing above DEA, confirming bullish momentum.
· Liquidity: Price has reclaimed the previous range lows ($85.12) and is now pushing into the **sell-side liquidity zone** above $92.11.
Elliott Wave (4H):
· The structure from the $85.12 low appears to be the start of a Wave 3 (impulsive).
· Wave 1: $85.12 → $92.11
· Wave 2: Correction to $88.50–$89.00
· Current price action is likely Wave 3, which typically extends beyond the previous high.
· Target for Wave 3: $96.00–$98.00 (1.618 extension of Wave 1).
Conclusion:
Direction = Bullish. The 4H trend is impulsive, and price is targeting a new higher high above $92.11.
1-Hour Timeframe (Behavior)
Observation:
· Price is holding above EMA5 ($91.59)** and **EMA10 ($91.45).
· BOLL bands are widening, with price riding the upper band.
· Volume: In the last 1H candles, volume is above MA5 ($58.71K), confirming buyer interest.
· Liquidity: The 1H chart shows a liquidity sweep at $92.11 (24H high), with price pulling back slightly to $91.88 before re-engaging.
Elliott Wave (1H):
· Wave 3 on 4H is subdivided into smaller waves on 1H.
· Currently in Wave iii of 3 (the strongest leg).
· A small Wave iv consolidation may occur between $91.50–$91.80 before Wave v pushes higher.
Conclusion:
Behavior = Bullish continuation. Price is in a consolidation phase after sweeping highs, preparing for another leg up.
15-Minute Timeframe (Entry)
Observation:
· Price is trading at $91.90–$92.03.
· Support: EMA5 ($91.59) and the **$91.50 level** (previous resistance turned support).
· Liquidity: The $92.11 high is a liquidity zone. A liquidity grab (false breakout above) would likely trigger stop losses before continuation.
· MACD (15M): Histogram is weakening slightly, indicating a minor pullback before continuation.
Elliott Wave (15M):
· Completing Wave iv correction.
· Expecting Wave v to target $92.50–$93.00 in the short term.
Entry Strategy:
Wait for a 15-minute bullish reversal pattern (e.g, hammer, bullish engulfing) after a liquidity sweep of $92.11 or a pullback to $91.50–$91.70.
2. Liquidity & Flip Zones
· Sell-Side Liquidity: Above $92.11. Market makers are likely to take out these highs to fuel upward momentum.
· Buy-Side Liquidity: Below $90.50 (previous 1H support). If price sweeps this before moving up, it would be a liquidity hunt and a strong entry signal.
· Flip Zone: $91.50–$91.80. If price holds here, it becomes support for the next leg up.
3. Swing Trade Plan ($2000 Investment)
Risk Management
· Risk per trade: 2% of capital = $40
· Stop-loss: Below recent structure support
Entry Scenario (15-Minute)
Option A: Aggressive Entry
· Entry: $91.80–$92.00 (market or limit after 15M consolidation)
· Stop-loss: $90.80 (below 1H EMA30 and recent low)
· Risk: $1.00–$1.20 per SOL
Option B: Conservative Entry (Liquidity Hunt)
· Entry: After price sweeps $92.11** and pulls back to **$91.50–$91.70 with bullish 15M candle
· Stop-loss: $90.50
· Risk: $1.00–$1.20 per SOL
Position Size
· Risk per SOL: ~$1.00
· Position size: 40 SOL ($40 risk ÷ $1.00 risk per SOL)
· Capital used: 40 SOL × $91.80 = **$3,672** (leverage not required; if using leverage, reduce size accordingly)
If using 2x leverage, capital required = $1,836, well within $2000.
Targets (Elliott Wave Extension)
Target Price Rationale
TP1 $94.50 0.618 extension of Wave 3 (conservative)
TP2 $96.80 1.0 extension of Wave 1–2 (next resistance)
TP3 $98.50 1.618 extension (full Wave 3 target)
· Trailing stop: Move to breakeven after +$1.00 move, then trail by $0.50.
4. Conclusion
The Elliott Wave structure across multiple timeframes supports a bullish continuation with Wave 3 underway on the 4H. The 1H and 15M charts show minor consolidation before another leg up toward $96–$98.
The trade plan focuses on entering after a liquidity sweep or a 15-minute confirmation, with tight risk management to protect capital while targeting a 1:2 to 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio.
Risk Level: Moderate
Expected Duration: 2–5 days
Confidence: High (based on confluence of TA and Elliott Wave)