2025.9.16 10:57 AM BTC/ETH market analysis

Interest rate cuts are imminent, officially announced at 2:00 am on the 18th. The market is increasingly struggling, and current market expectations indicate a 96% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, and around 35% for a 50 basis point cut. Old Trump keeps sending signals that Old Powell must cut rates significantly more than his expectations. Currently, the market's non-farm payroll data, CPI/PPI/PCE, etc., all support a rate cut. If Old Powell cuts rates, it will still be independent and autonomous. If Old Powell continues not to cut rates, it will be a deliberate opposition to Old Trump, because the current data supports it. If Old Powell still does not cut rates, it will only be a matter of decision-making between Old Trump and Old Powell!
BTC attention
Support 113575/111950
Pressure 119161
At this moment, BTC is performing strongly, even touching 115500 again in the early morning. The trend is still showing dominance! The first support level, if there’s an opportunity today or tomorrow, a 1% short position should be an easy entry with eyes closed, after all, tomorrow night marks a critical moment. Wednesday night and Thursday early morning will be the time for interest rate announcements, and today’s market suppression and downturn are definitely creating space for tomorrow's interest rate!
ETH Attention
Support 4415/4290/4105
No pressure
The reason for not putting pressure is that once it breaks out, it can easily surpass 4730. Don’t be fooled by its current weakness, but don’t forget the surge of over 200 dollars last Friday; if there’s an opportunity for support in the next two days, it’s better to take a bold approach with light positions and do it in batches, consistent with BTC. The gamble is on the build-up before the interest rate cut and the market surge before and after the cut. Although the risk is high, the potential return is also great. All I can say is that if there's an opportunity, it's better to take action, even if it means cutting losses!
In terms of operations: BTC and ETH are undoubtedly the leaders. For spot trading, look for those that have stabilized around the daily Kma60/ma120 or those that are currently retesting and confirming support. Especially focus on new coins and newly listed coins that have been hot in the past year. If you're unsure, feel free to leave a message and I'll assist you!
#BTC# #ETH# #GT#