Check out what on-chain data is showing about XRP. The amount of tokens in loss has just reached levels we haven't seen in quite some time. We're talking about more than 36 billion XRP being held with a loss at the moment. The most interesting thing is that when you convert this into dollars, it gets even heavier. About 50 billion dollars in negative positions on the blockchain. This is a record in recent years, well above what we had seen before in this cycle. Basically, the capital that entered XRP has grown a lot, and now the pain is concentrated in a much larger number of investors. The metric that tracks this works like this: it checks the on-chain history of each circulating coin and compares the last transaction price with the current price. If the last time someone moved that token was at a higher price, it counts as a loss. Simple as that. What draws attention is that usually when investor pain is at its maximum, markets tend to find bottoms. So the question remains: is XRP approaching a floor? Only time will tell. Oh, and about the price: XRP is trading around $1.44 now, with a slight increase of 0.69% in the last 24 hours. Nothing explosive, but at least it's not falling anymore.

I followed XRP's recovery this week, it went up about 6% on Wednesday but honestly didn't change much in the macro picture. It went from $1.11 (February's low) and now it's at $1.44, already 27% above that bottom, but if you look at the bigger chart, it seems more like consolidation than a real reversal. What’s happening: XRP couldn't break through the resistance at $1.67, so technically it remains in a bearish structure. Some analysts I follow (like CasiTrades) believe that this rise was just noise, with no structural change. So far, there’s no variation to justify changing XRP's forecast to bullish. For me, XRP's forecast will depend on two scenarios: either it drops to support at $0.87 (Fibonacci 0.854), or it rises above $1.67 to change the game. Until that happens, it’s all consolidation within the range. If it drops to $0.87, then it would be interesting to enter more strongly. But for now, the picture remains uncertain, with no clear signs of a breakout in any direction.

I’ve been keeping an eye on the latest updates that the three major AI models have made about XRP. ChatGPT, Google Gemini, and Grok have revised their price forecasts for the end of 2026, and the figures that came out are quite interesting given the situation we’re in right now. XRP really took a hit at the start of 2026. It’s down significantly since January and is now trading at around $1,44, far from that peak of $3,65 we saw in 2025. But according to these AI models, this could just be part of a normal market cycle. Grok, the xAI model, thinks there’s a 50% chance that XRP will close the year between $2 e and $3,50 if ETF inflows continue to be strong. Meanwhile, ChatGPT is a bit more conservative, projecting a range of $2,10 to $2,60 by December, but it also leaves open the possibility of reaching $3 a and $4,20 if liquidity improves. Gemini is more optimistic, expecting consolidation now in the first half of the year and then a stronger move in the second half, with a target of $3,15 by year-end. What caught my attention is that all three models mention the same factors: ETF approvals, a possible approval of the CLARITY Act in the U.S. Senate, and the expansion of XRP Ledger use cases with real assets being tokenized. Grok even estimated that if XRP captures between 2% and 5% of the global liquidations market, the implications would be enormous. Of course, each model also has its own bearish scenario, but overall it seems they see more upside than downside for the rest of the year. It’s worth keeping an eye on how these price predictions will unfold from here.