Why feel confused and lost? Doing too little and thinking too much.

Recently, the market has been sluggish. Whenever the market is sluggish, many people fall into confusion and perplexity. The perplexed, in English, is Doubt.

The market has its jargon, known as FUD. FUD is an acronym for the first letters of Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt in English.

Fear is terror. This is scary news. For example, “A certain country is about to implement strict regulatory policies”, “The founder of a certain project is under investigation”, “This token technology has a fatal flaw”, etc.

Doubt refers to questions and uncertainty. This is a message that raises suspicion. For example, “I heard there are problems within the project, but the specifics are still unclear.”

Confusion is perplexity, doubt, and loss of confidence. This is disappointing news. For example, “Do you really believe this will work? Is the market still okay? I feel there's no hope/it's not going to happen.”

Traders often spread FUD messages to influence market sentiment, making it easier for them to profit from their own trading direction. Their goal is not to persuade others through rational debate, but to manipulate emotions and behavior by exploiting human weaknesses.

People have seven emotions and six desires, and by nature, they tend to seek benefits and avoid harm, making it difficult not to be influenced by FUD.

When the overall situation is very unclear, and even shrouded in dark clouds, you don't need others to FUD you; if you are terrified inside, you will FUD yourself.

Only those who have a strong inner self, resolute will, and firm faith can firmly believe in “A Single Spark Can Start a Prairie Fire” during such low periods.

However, some people are truly strong at heart, while others just pretend to be strong on the surface.

A person who is truly strong at heart is definitely not just confident in words, but is actually taking action and putting things into practice.

The experience of teaching chains is that the reason for confusion and bewilderment most of the time is simply doing too little while thinking too much.

Here, “doing” does not refer to trading recklessly without a plan or even engaging in revenge trading, but rather to taking specific actions yourself.

Things do not have to be concerned with size, do not have to be related to the market, and do not have to be concerned with returns and profits.

Even cooking is a pretty nice thing to do.

Cooking a good meal with care and serving your own stomach, after eating, feeling refreshed all over, experiencing a healing power, this may not be a subtle turning of the wheels of fate.

Even if it's learning a very small skill, like making a cold wallet yourself or learning how to write markdown files.

The sense of accomplishment after learning that is enough to fill one's heart with happiness.

No matter how inconspicuous an action-oriented person is, they will always move forward faster than daydreaming or empty talk, and much faster at that.

The only thing we can grasp is what we do now, not what we will gain in the future. If you expect certainty of returns in the future as a condition for what you do now, you will ultimately end up achieving nothing.

Just thinking without doing is futile. Talking without acting is also futile.

The world does not revolve around your subjective wishes.

People who think that if they put their mind to it or express their thoughts, those thoughts will automatically become reality are still children who haven't grown up.

Only in the world of children will there be a Santa Claus who quietly helps them fulfill their wishes.

Those who think that if they cry loudly, someone will come to comfort them, even stuff a toy into their hands and put a lollipop in their mouth, just to make them happy, are also children who haven't grown up.

The complaints of adults about the status quo are like the cries of children; essentially, they stem from an inability to meet desires, a lack of knowledge on how to express themselves correctly, or a reluctance to honestly face oneself and admit to their shortcomings or unfulfilled desires.

Ability is the capacity to change the current situation. Desire is the desire to change the current situation.

Ability includes willingness. Only when there is a willingness to act, does ability become useful. Without willingness, it can at most be called potential, and it cannot be said that there is any ability at all.

Many people only dare to talk big but are always unwilling or afraid to take action, which is similar to the possibility mentioned in that Arabic proverb:

Don't easily show your strength. Because once you show your strength, others will find out that you don't have much strength.

So, there are only two paths to take.

Either take a step back and lower your desires. Control your desires at this level based on how much willingness and ability you have. Those who know contentment are often happy.

Either go further, or take action, do things, and get down to real work.

To do, in order to move forward.

Not doing anything, forever standing still.

Think of a thousand paths at night, but in the morning take the original road.

Jiaolian suddenly thought that there has been recent discussion about the weak randomness flaw of private keys, mentioning that computer algorithms cannot produce true randomness because no matter how they are calculated, they cannot increase information entropy.

Maybe the human brain is the same!

Lying in bed lost in thought, or sitting around discussing theories, does not increase entropy.

Reading to acquire new knowledge, or interacting with new people to gain new insights from them, can also input entropy for oneself. However, if you are at the forefront of humanity, exploring uncharted territories, then these methods of learning from peers become impractical.

Only by taking action, no matter what it is, can we introduce external entropy into our brains, thus injecting more entropy into ourselves as a system.

More entropy can bring more new ideas, inspire more insights, reshape cognition, and ultimately generate more possibilities.

The journey of fate quietly diverges among more possibilities.

Rooted in the earth, we will gain more confidence.

In the practice of hands-on work, all fears and doubts dissipate like smoke.