Market prediction is like shooting blindfolded. What truly matters is seeing clearly.



The rules of investing are simple: everyone sees a different future, so the profits vary. Where does the gap come from? On the surface, it's perception; in reality, it's the difference in underlying thinking models.

From a computational power perspective, everyone's mental foundation is similar. The real dividing line is in "attention." Attention is your computational power. Do you focus your limited energy on the most critical few things, or scatter it across ten directions? The results after a year can be worlds apart.

But the biggest gap comes from data quality. Garbage in, garbage out — the world you see is just a reflection of the quality of your data. Many people can't make money because the core issue isn't methodology but that the information they consume is simply wrong.

So, the key isn't about having a more complex investment model, but about how you filter high-quality data and let that data update your cognitive system. When the source is right, the subsequent deductions become valuable.
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MidnightMEVeatervip
· 01-07 15:56
Good morning, at 3 a.m. I want to say—garbage in, garbage out. This phrase hits especially hard on the blockchain, and only after paying more gas fees do you realize it. The point about attention and computing power is correct, but those who truly survive in the dark pools know that the quality of information sources can determine whether you're the top layer of a sandwich or caught in the middle. The tragedy of retail investors is that they’re drinking filtered second-hand coffee. Once the data source is contaminated, no matter how complex the models are later on, they’re just building on garbage and will eventually collapse. I’ve seen too many people fall here.
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AirdropHermitvip
· 01-07 15:56
Garbage information gets into your mind; no matter how smart you are, it's useless.
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WenMoon42vip
· 01-07 15:55
Really, after so many predictions have failed, it's better to focus deeply on one track. The biggest problem with retail investors is that they want to copy everything, but end up not understanding anything. The critique about the data source is very harsh; most people don't even know what kind of water they are drinking.
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FallingLeafvip
· 01-07 15:54
You're right, the quality of information is the real hurdle. Retail investors chase every trending topic daily, only to find they've been chasing false trends—that's the cost of relying on garbage data. Attention is indeed a scarce resource. I often fall into the same trap, trying to buy the dip on everything. If the source is wrong, all efforts are in vain. That really hit home. Constantly looking at "insider information" in groups every day—no wonder you're losing everything. It's better to master one project than to look at ten. I only just realized this now. Garbage in, garbage out—there are no exceptions.
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