Support zone control — the market is forming a descending channel between 68,000 USD and 74,000 USD; the probability of further decline is estimated at 60% versus 40% for a rebound. The main strategy is moderate short-term trades until a reversal is confirmed. $BTC $ETH

Growth scenario📈: possible with stabilization of ETF flows and RSI rising above 35; during this time, whale activity shifts to buying. Positive signals may come from partial capital return to ETH and SOL — they often indicate early risk rotations.
Short-term long📈
Entry: upon breaking 73,500 USD ( volume 30 %)
Stop-loss: 67,000 USD
Take-profit: 75,000 USD

Decline scenario📉: relevant if ETF outflows continue and BTC exchange reserves grow > 35,000 units; technically confirmed by a descending EMA and MACD structure. Increased bearish pressure is also visible in PEPE and SUI dynamics, where sales coincide in timing.
Short-term short📉
Entry: upon breaking 70,000 USD ( volume 35 %)
Stop-loss: 73,500 USD
Take-profit: 67,000 USD