$DOGE Signal】Hold cash + Observe under short squeeze risk



$DOGE Continually closing higher on the 4-hour chart, but the price is approaching the EMA20 (0.0931) resistance, and the depth imbalance (0.98%) indicates increasing selling pressure.

🎯 Direction: Hold cash

Market analysis: The price rebounded over 6% from the low of 0.0878, but key data points suggest the rebound is fragile. The funding rate is -0.0030%, indicating negative funding, and open interest (OI) trend remains stable. Combined with the buy/sell ratio consistently below 0.5, it shows that the upward movement is mainly driven by short covering (squeeze) rather than new buying interest.

Logical core: The current price (0.09349) is tightly hugging the EMA20, but the EMA50 above (0.0970) creates strong resistance. RSI at 48.71 is in a neutral to weak zone, indicating insufficient momentum for a sustained rally. Order book depth shows significant ask orders stacked above 0.0935, while bid orders, though thick, are concentrated below the current price, representing passive defense. If the price cannot hold above EMA20, a pullback is highly likely.

Market psychology: This rally, accompanied by a low buy/sell ratio and negative funding rate, is a typical short squeeze scenario. Without significant incremental funds (OI not increasing) and main force buying (Taker not buying), chasing longs is very risky. The price needs a healthy pullback (such as support around 0.0900-0.0910) with absorption by buyers to confirm a trend reversal.

Trade 👇 $DOGE

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