📈 PPI data affects ETH forecast
Tonight's PPI data: Previous value 0.9% → Expected 0.3%
Three scenario analyses:
1.
Meets expectations (0.3%) - Probability 60%
- Short-term rebound to $4,400-4,450
- Look towards $4,500 after breaking the EMA resistance
- Action: Long position with light leverage, stop loss at $4,260
2.
Below expectations (<0.3%) - Probability 25%
- Strong breakthrough to $4,500-4,600
- Inflation concerns eased, risk assets benefited
- Action: Increase position to go long, target $4,650
3.
Higher than expected ( >0.3%) - Probability 15
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