Review on December 1 at midnight #数字货币市场回升
First, the conclusion - you can consider placing short positions in the range of 92000-92500 for Bitcoin, with a target of 91000-90000; for Ethereum, enter around 3060-3100, with a downward target of 3020-3000.
The current price is hovering around 91400. A bearish signal has appeared on the hourly chart, with the KDJ three lines sticking together and continuing to move down. The RSI is also hesitating near the 50 level, and short-term pressure remains.
Focus on the four-hour level: the support below is at the convergence of the lower Bollinger Band a

The Fed is about to officially announce the cessation of quantitative tightening (QT), and this years-long "balance sheet reduction" action is finally going to hit the pause button.
What does this signal mean?
In simple terms, it means that the central bank will no longer continue to "suck out" liquidity. Although it hasn't reached the "release liquidity" stage yet, at least the faucet is no longer being turned back. The marginal changes in global liquidity could potentially reshape the landscape of the capital markets.
How will Bitcoin perform? There are two opposing voices in the market:

Regarding the price expectations of ASTER, there are polarized voices in the market. Interestingly, critics often focus on the total supply of the Token, while overlooking the more critical differences in economic model design.
Let's do a comparison experiment.
The strategy adopted by ASTER is quite aggressive: unlocking tokens for direct airdrops to community users, which means that the chips are decentralized from the very beginning. Coupled with a continuous buyback and burn mechanism, the project party is effectively using real money to underpin this. Observing the recent price trends,

#数字货币市场回升 Honestly follow the rhythm, this rebound really made money.
Sometimes, when the market gives a signal, don't overthink it. If it's time to enter, then do it, don't hesitate. In the crypto industry, listening to advice can help you made money—of course, the prerequisite is that you need to discern whose advice is worth listening to.
This round of rebound came pretty quickly, have you made money?

Finally made it through!
This wave directly recouped $60,000, contracts are truly a love-hate relationship. During that previous time, I was so stressed from holding positions that I started to doubt life, and my mindset was almost breaking from staring at the market every day.
Fortunately, the short position in piver also performed well, pulling back more than 20,000 USD. Now looking at the account numbers, I can finally breathe a sigh of relief.
To be honest, contracts are really not something for humans to play with — but seeing the moment it turns red again, I feel like this wave of blood

#ETH走势分析 Evening market observation notes are here.
Looking at the four-hour level, it previously surged to the 3098 position and then backed off directly, now oscillating around 3030. The upper Bollinger Band is pressing down hard, and the MACD is starting to weaken as well, with funds still flowing out. The rebound this time clearly lacks volume support. The bulls don't have enough strength; if 3050 can't hold, the probability of going down is quite high.
Personal trading idea: Consider placing short positions in the range from 3060 to 3040, with a bearish target initially focusing

#数字货币市场回升 This wave of $BTC long order has been quite comfortable, lying in ambush from the low point to now with unrealized gains of 6k. Currently, BTC is stable around the 70,000 mark, and I feel this rebound still has potential, so I'll continue to hold and observe.

Latest news! Goldman Sachs has just released a forecast: the probability of a Fed rate cut in December is extremely high, with market pricing indicating that this possibility has reached 85%.
Why the sudden rate cut? The answer is straightforward - economic data is sending a warning. There are clear signals of a weak labor market, and while inflationary pressures have eased, they remain in a contested range. If the Fed continues to maintain high interest rates, market liquidity may face greater pressure. This is not a market rescue, but a standard operation in the policy toolbox.
Looking back

The prediction made early yesterday morning really came true - BTC indeed retraced to the 92000 level. After this operation, I successfully made a profit of 1900 points.
When the expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts rises, market sentiment does tend to create rebound opportunities after such pullbacks. The current trend of #美联储恢复降息进程 basically aligns with technical expectations, and $BTC is also moving in tandem with $SOL .
However, that being said, short-term fluctuations can really test one's mindset; the key is to make plans in advance.

#数字货币市场回升 Yesterday, the $SOL long order was opened at the position of 129, and it seems the direction is correct. If you entered the position around 137 and currently have unrealized gains, you might consider locking in profits, as the market fluctuation is significant, and taking profits is not a bad thing.
However, from my personal judgment, there is still room for SOL to continue rising in the short term, so I will hold my position for a while longer. Of course, everyone has different risk preferences; this is just my own trading thought process, and everyone should act according to their

#数字货币市场回升 The CEO of MicroStrategy recently made a strong statement: if the mNAV falls below 1, they do not rule out selling Bitcoin.
This signal is not simple. Currently, the mNAV is still at 1.13, which looks okay, but if it truly breaks the 1 support line, it could trigger a chain reaction—coin prices and stock prices stepping on each other, spiraling down.
The key is how much Bitcoin MicroStrategy holds? If that volume really starts to reduce, the market will definitely tremble. Previously, everyone has discussed the risk points of such holding institutions, which basically revolve around

#ETH走势分析 According to a report by PANews, the latest assessment by a top Wall Street investment bank's FICC team indicates that the Fed is highly likely to continue cutting interest rates in the December meeting. Analysts point out that recent employment data has been consistently weakening, coupled with an increase in risk prevention demands, leading policymakers to favor maintaining a loose monetary pace.
The institution further elaborated on the strategic logic: Given the narrowing window for the release of economic data at the end of the year, the market has formed a strong consensus o

#数字货币市场回升 The road is long and difficult, but as you walk, you will get there.
Having been in the crypto market for a long time, the only difference between me and most people might be that I can step back and take a look at the market. Many times, you find yourselves deeply involved, overwhelmed by emotions, and it's completely normal not to be able to analyze objectively. The bystander sees clearly, while the person involved is confused.
Recently, observing the trends of $BTC $ETH $ZEC, I feel even more that mindset is more important than technology. When the market rebounds, staying ca

These three days have been like a dream. The account surged from 70,000 U to 930,000 U, and looking back now, it still feels unreal.
On the 19th, I placed a long position for TNSR at 0.036 without thinking much at the time. As a result, it shot up like it was on steroids, and when it reached 0.3, I chose to take profits, pocketing 530,000 U. To be honest, I did feel a bit euphoric at that moment.
After two days, I saw a pullback to 0.2, so I entered again. It rose to 0.27 again, and I wasn't greedy, so I took my profits and got 90,000 U.
The craziest move is yet to come—I opened a short po

#数字资产市场观察 BTC has started to quietly climb again, stepping up one level after another, and this feeling is quite interesting.

LSK is currently trading around $0.296, showing a strong trend. The price has successfully broken through a long-term consolidation zone, surging to around $0.32 before taking a short pause, and is now steadily above the 7-day, 25-day, and 99-day moving averages (7-day MA about 0.287, 25-day MA about 0.244, 99-day MA about 0.196).
The trading volume has clearly increased this time, and the buying pressure is dominant – this is a good confirmation signal for a breakout. Looking down, the range of 0.26-0.24 (corresponding to the 7-day and 25-day moving averages) will be the recent support zone;

#美联储恢复降息进程 The market data on Sunday was relatively stable. After rising from the 90400 position, it directly touched near 91500. Looking at the daily chart, the long positions are accumulating little by little, and the price is almost touching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The most critical point now is whether the 92000 position can be突破, this is a hurdle.
On the four-hour chart, it can be seen that it has broken through the previous consolidation range. Although it is still fluctuating, the overall focus is rising. All moving averages have started to move upward, and the long pos

Goldman Sachs just dropped a bombshell: the Fed may not be able to withstand the pressure in December and might cut the interest rate directly to just above 3%.
This is not just talk. Chief Economist Jan Hatzius has laid it out directly—the slowdown in the U.S. economy is happening much faster than expected, with only 119,000 new jobs added in September, which is hardly enough to support the situation. Signs of layoffs have already begun to emerge, and the labor market is on the brink of a hard landing. Currently, the Intrerest Rate is still high at 3.75%-4%; if it really drops to 3%, that wou

#数字货币市场回升 November 30 ETH trend observation
The on-chain funds were indeed not very active over the weekend. I checked the market, and the large funds haven't really sold off yet; there are quite a few chips piled up at the 3120 position.
My opinion: If the range between 3120 and 3090 cannot be held, it will likely continue to探下.
Don't rush to buy the dip, be patient and wait for a better position. Currently, the pullback may test 2980, 2940, and even 2900 is not impossible.
Of course, managing risk is the most important thing. If the main force wants to reverse and make a move to eli

#数字货币市场回升 As the technological competition enters a new era, this time the movement is quite significant.
On November 24, Eastern Time, an executive order named "Genesis Project" was issued - this is not a plot from a science fiction novel, but a concrete action taken by the United States to bet on the AI field. What is Trump trying to do this time? In simple terms, it is to heavily invest national resources into the AI sector.
First, look at the three key layouts:
First is the Super Laboratory. Led by the Department of Energy, it integrates the top computing power and data resources across th