The probability of a rate cut in September has surprisingly reached ninety-nine percent, making it almost certain that a rate cut will occur. As a result, Bitcoin has also experienced a pump in the market. However, there is an old saying in the crypto world: when favourable information is realized, it becomes unfavourable information. The main reason for the rate cut is that various data points are not performing well, which is why a rate cut is needed to stimulate the economy. As others have said, a rate cut typically occurs under poor fundamental conditions, but some argue that a rate cut happens when there are signs of trouble. In any case, when opening positions, caution is necessary; there is no rule that states a rate cut will definitely lead to a rise; it’s merely a question of probability.