#美联储恢复降息进程 It's another sleepless deep night, let's just chat about the recent market. $BTC $ETH $ZEC

The monthly line is about to close, and in a few weeks it will be Christmas. Speaking of which, historically, the month of December often brings some surprises— the term "Christmas rally" is not unfounded.

I looked through the K-line charts of Bitcoin from the past few years, and it does tend to experience a surge right before Christmas. Personally, I feel that there might still be some momentum left after the current round of pullback, and the 98000 level should have a chance to be touched. If luck is on our side, we might even get close to 103000. However, that being said, if it really reaches 103000, the trend might change. So my thought is: don't blindly guess where the peak is, and don't recklessly try to catch the bottom; just follow the rhythm of the market.

Looking at the external environment again - the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the next meeting has now surged to 85.1%, and after the end of quantitative tightening on December 1st, the money in the market will be much looser. This is a good signal for Bitcoin and those altcoins.

There is also the ETF for mainstream altcoins. Although it has been delayed for various reasons in the past, the expectation is still there. Think about it, altcoins have been silent for more than three years since the last bull market, and now it's basically a solo performance by Bitcoin. When the ETF finally lands, it might just be the time for altcoins to make a comeback.